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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 390.34K | $0.876 | $374.93K | +$33.13K |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | sell | 18.26K | $0.929 | $16.97K | May 11, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 35.36K |
| $0.805 |
| $34K |
| +$5.53K |
| sell |
| 61K |
| $0.998 |
| $60.88K |
| May 11, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | May 9, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | May 9, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 15.95K | $0.996 | $15.88K | May 1, 2026 |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?No | buy | 46.38K | $0.997 | $46.24K | May 1, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 50K | $0.997 | $49.85K | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 52.07K | $0.997 | $51.91K | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 18.8K | $0.997 | $18.74K | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 18.59K | $0.986 | $18.33K | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 35.06K | $0.960 | $33.66K | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.17K | $0.954 | $4.93K | Apr 10, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 100K | $0.997 | $99.7K | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by March 31?No | buy | 30.48K | $0.970 | $29.56K | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31?No | buy | 55K | $0.970 | $53.34K | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?No | buy | 6K | $0.950 | $5.7K | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 13K | $0.890 | $11.57K | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 10K | $0.996 | $9.96K | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Zelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?No | buy | 11K | $0.900 | $9.9K | Dec 21, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 10K | $0.994 | $9.94K | Dec 21, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 6K | $0.993 | $5.96K | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will the Brown University shooter not be arrested in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.52K | $0.979 | $2.47K | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Brown University shooter arrested by December 31?No | buy | 3.83K | $0.978 | $3.75K | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 2.2K | $0.870 | $1.91K | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 10K | $0.870 | $8.7K | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 100K | $0.870 | $87K | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 100K | $0.994 | $99.4K | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 15K | $0.991 | $14.87K | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 2.93K | $0.880 | $2.58K | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 5K | $0.992 | $4.96K | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?No | buy | 533 | $0.917 | $488.96 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?No | buy | 644.1 | $0.949 | $611.14 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | sell | 5.9K | $0.989 | $5.84K | Nov 30, 2025 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?No | buy | 4.02K | $0.950 | $3.82K | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | sell | 10K | $0.989 | $9.89K | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 900 | $0.969 | $872.1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 29.44K | $0.963 | $28.35K | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 15K | $0.927 | $13.91K | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 241.65 | $0.998 | $241.17 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.997 | $33.23 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.2K | $0.998 | $1.2K | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.46K | $0.998 | $1.45K | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 3.75K | $0.998 | $3.74K | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 4.87K | $0.997 | $4.86K | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 4.46K | $0.996 | $4.44K | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 1.5K | $0.320 | $479.88 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 1.99K | $0.343 | $684.4 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 1.14K | $0.339 | $384.63 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 2.87K | $0.288 | $827.17 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 610.61 | $0.968 | $591.07 | Oct 10, 2025 |