Latest trade
Oct 21, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 5:26 AM UTC.
Analytics
Aq4ExePrd22Jn is down $16.73K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 42 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-06 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 21, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 5:26 AM UTC.
$192.24 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 4 markets; 70.0% were buys. They run from Oct 13, 2026 UTC to Oct 21, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 51.66K | $0.858 | $41.58K | -$2.71K |
 Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 182.12 | $0.110 | $20.03 | 3d ago |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-06 15:26 UTC
Polymarket public position response
11 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 05:26 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 05:26 UTC
polymarket positions
43 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-06 15:26 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $9.43K and losing ones cost $6.34K across 42 settled positions. 90.5% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $2.21K on “Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?” (No); the largest loss, $3.39K on “Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 21 Oct 2026. It has traded 53 markets. Its open positions are worth $109.16K across 11 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 19.91K |
| $0.940 |
| $19.4K |
| +$689.24 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 11.12K | $0.935 | $10.86K | +$456.85 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 9.04K | $0.946 | $8.68K | +$131.07 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 8.64K | $0.955 | $8.25K | -$0.84 |
 NATO article 5 before 2027? | No | 8.27K | $0.915 | $7.87K | +$293.29 |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | No | 6.01K | $0.921 | $5.74K | +$200.94 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | No | 5K | $0.890 | $4.68K | +$225 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 2.2K | $0.944 | $2.05K | -$19.49 |
 Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent? | No | 45.93 | $0.871 | $42.25 | +$2.25 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 112.89 | $0.900 | $12.98 | -$88.67 |
| sell |
| 591.59 |
| $0.120 |
| $70.99 |
| 4d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 182.12 | $0.130 | $23.68 | 4d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 21.71 | $0.140 | $3.04 | 5d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 182.12 | $0.130 | $23.68 | 5d ago |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | buy | 150.5 | $0.940 | $141.47 | 5d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 591.59 | $0.120 | $70.99 | 6d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 182.12 | $0.120 | $21.85 | 6d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 591.59 | $0.110 | $65.07 | 7d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 182.12 | $0.110 | $20.03 | 7d ago |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | buy | 144.5 | $0.940 | $135.83 | 7d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 591.59 | $0.110 | $65.07 | 8d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 182.12 | $0.110 | $20.03 | 8d ago |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | buy | 141.5 | $0.940 | $133.01 | 8d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 591.59 | $0.110 | $65.07 | 9d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 182.12 | $0.120 | $21.85 | 9d ago |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 201.51 | $0.954 | $192.24 | 10d ago |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 201.51 | $0.954 | $192.24 | 10d ago |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 201.51 | $0.954 | $192.24 | 10d ago |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 201.51 | $0.954 | $192.24 | 10d ago |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 201.51 | $0.954 | $192.24 | 10d ago |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 201.51 | $0.954 | $192.24 | 10d ago |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 201.51 | $0.954 | $192.24 | 10d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 591.59 | $0.130 | $76.91 | 10d ago |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 201.51 | $0.954 | $192.24 | 10d ago |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 201.51 | $0.954 | $192.24 | 10d ago |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 201.51 | $0.954 | $192.24 | 10d ago |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 201.51 | $0.954 | $192.24 | 10d ago |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 201.51 | $0.954 | $192.24 | 10d ago |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 201.51 | $0.954 | $192.24 | 10d ago |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 201.51 | $0.954 | $192.24 | 10d ago |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 201.51 | $0.954 | $192.24 | 10d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 182.12 | $0.130 | $23.68 | 10d ago |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 201.51 | $0.954 | $192.24 | 10d ago |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 201.51 | $0.954 | $192.24 | 10d ago |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | buy | 136 | $0.940 | $127.84 | 10d ago |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 201.51 | $0.954 | $192.24 | 10d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 305 | $0.830 | $253.15 | 10d ago |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 201.72 | $0.953 | $192.24 | 10d ago |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 201.72 | $0.953 | $192.24 | 10d ago |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 200.67 | $0.958 | $192.24 | 11d ago |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 200.67 | $0.958 | $192.24 | 11d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 180 | $0.830 | $149.4 | 11d ago |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 200.67 | $0.958 | $192.24 | 11d ago |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 200.67 | $0.958 | $192.24 | 11d ago |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 200.67 | $0.958 | $192.24 | 11d ago |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 200.67 | $0.958 | $192.24 | 11d ago |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 200.67 | $0.958 | $192.24 | 11d ago |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 200.46 | $0.959 | $192.24 | 11d ago |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 200.46 | $0.959 | $192.24 | 11d ago |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 86 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.