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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | 627.7 | $0.978 | $623.62 | +$9.47 |
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?No | buy | 9.62 | $0.520 | $5 | 8d ago |
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| No |
| 564.91 |
| $0.942 |
| $533.84 |
| +$1.96 |
Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 459.73 | $0.936 | $442.03 | +$11.68 |
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | No | 305.99 | $0.974 | $300.18 | +$2.02 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 201.01 | $0.988 | $200.11 | +$1.61 |
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | No | 101.87 | $0.966 | $100.95 | +$2.5 |
Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.967 | $99.3 | +$2.6 |
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? | No | 100 | $0.950 | $97.9 | +$2.9 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 100 | $0.963 | $96.05 | -$0.25 |
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? | No | 56 | $0.982 | $55.72 | +$0.73 |
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 56 | $0.968 | $54.74 | +$0.53 |
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? | No | 50 | $0.976 | $49.63 | +$0.83 |
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? | No | 50 | $0.971 | $49.48 | +$0.93 |
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | Yes | 50 | $0.961 | $48.58 | +$0.53 |
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? | No | 50 | $0.920 | $47.93 | +$1.93 |
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026? | No | 50 | $0.940 | $46.75 | -$0.25 |
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | No | 50 | $0.920 | $45.25 | -$0.75 |
Will Hyperliquid introduce KYC by September 30, 2026? | No | 10.48 | $0.954 | $10.37 | +$0.37 |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 11.76 | $0.850 | $10.29 | +$0.29 |
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? | No | 11.68 | $0.856 | $10.09 | +$0.09 |
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 23.99 | $0.350 | $9 | +$0.6 |
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 4.21 | $0.962 | $4.15 | +$0.1 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 13.33 | $0.450 | $2.6 | -$3.4 |
OpenAI IPO before 2027? | No | 2.14 | $0.560 | $1.96 | +$0.76 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 2.01 | $0.816 | $1.93 | +$0.29 |
| sell |
| 10 |
| $0.910 |
| $9.1 |
| 20d ago |
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?No | sell | 115 | $0.050 | $5.77 | 23d ago |
Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 100 | $0.956 | $95.6 | 23d ago |
Trump out as President by August 31?No | sell | 100 | $0.995 | $99.5 | 23d ago |
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.950 | $190 | 23d ago |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | buy | 400 | $0.980 | $392 | 23d ago |
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?No | buy | 40 | $0.590 | $23.6 | 23d ago |
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?No | buy | 5 | $0.998 | $4.99 | 23d ago |
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?No | buy | 30 | $0.998 | $29.94 | 23d ago |
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?No | buy | 27.52 | $0.997 | $27.44 | 23d ago |
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?No | buy | 10 | $0.840 | $8.4 | 23d ago |
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?No | buy | 40 | $0.670 | $26.8 | 23d ago |
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | sell | 320.89 | $0.965 | $309.66 | 23d ago |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 50 | $0.995 | $49.75 | 23d ago |
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?No | buy | 10 | $0.985 | $9.85 | 23d ago |
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?No | buy | 11.68 | $0.856 | $10 | 24d ago |
Will Hyperliquid introduce KYC by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 10.48 | $0.954 | $10 | 24d ago |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.450 | $6 | 24d ago |
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No | buy | 110 | $0.975 | $107.25 | 24d ago |
Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.999 | $199.8 | 24d ago |
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?No | buy | 66.11 | $0.990 | $65.45 | 24d ago |
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?No | buy | 6 | $0.981 | $5.89 | 24d ago |
Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 250 | $0.992 | $247.97 | 24d ago |
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?No | buy | 40 | $0.979 | $39.18 | 25d ago |
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?No | buy | 40 | $0.870 | $34.8 | 25d ago |
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?No | buy | 60 | $0.943 | $56.6 | 25d ago |
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?No | sell | 51.1 | $0.300 | $15.33 | 25d ago |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.963 | $96.3 | 25d ago |
Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.25 on August 31, 2026?No | buy | 48.5 | $0.990 | $48.02 | 25d ago |
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.982 | $49.1 | 25d ago |
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 56 | $0.968 | $54.21 | 25d ago |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 101.01 | $0.990 | $100 | 27d ago |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | sell | 227.69 | $0.979 | $222.91 | 27d ago |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 150 | $0.993 | $148.95 | 28d ago |
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 23.99 | $0.350 | $8.4 | Aug 8, 2026 |
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 55.55 | $0.900 | $50 | Aug 8, 2026 |
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?No | buy | 75 | $0.945 | $70.85 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.940 | $47 | Aug 6, 2026 |
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 55.56 | $0.900 | $50 | Aug 6, 2026 |
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 210.53 | $0.950 | $200 | Aug 5, 2026 |
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 51.87 | $0.964 | $50 | Aug 5, 2026 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | buy | 205.39 | $0.974 | $200 | Aug 5, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 100 | $0.991 | $99.1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.976 | $48.8 | Aug 3, 2026 |
Trump out as President by August 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.992 | $99.2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?No | buy | 40 | $0.850 | $34 | Aug 3, 2026 |
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?No | buy | 55 | $0.960 | $52.78 | Aug 3, 2026 |
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.961 | $48.05 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.969 | $48.45 | Aug 1, 2026 |