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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.8K | $0.887 | $1.71K | +$104.62 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?No | buy | 252.02 | $0.992 | $250 | 20h ago |
 |
| No |
| 1.09K |
| $0.920 |
| $1.02K |
| +$16.31 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 771.75 | $0.920 | $721.58 | +$11.58 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 604.93 | $0.934 | $581.64 | +$16.64 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 600.24 | $0.833 | $509.31 | +$9.3 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 454.55 | $0.880 | $420.45 | +$20.45 |
 Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026? | No | 441.84 | $0.914 | $419.09 | +$15.09 |
| Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026? | No | 379.89 | $0.901 | $358.99 | +$16.49 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? | No | 262.33 | $0.953 | $254.46 | +$4.46 |
 Iran leadership change by September 30? | No | 257.73 | $0.970 | $251.8 | +$1.8 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | No | 251.76 | $0.993 | $249.62 | -$0.38 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | No | 252.02 | $0.992 | $249.62 | -$0.38 |
 Will the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote? | No | 255.74 | $0.978 | $244.36 | -$5.64 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 275.59 | $0.860 | $235.63 | -$1.38 |
 Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026? | No | 158.02 | $0.949 | $153.59 | +$3.59 |
| Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? | No | 161.29 | $0.930 | $152.02 | +$2.02 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | No | 39.34 | $0.966 | $38.35 | +$0.35 |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? | No | 47.22 | $0.720 | $33.29 | -$0.71 |
| buy |
| 39.34 |
| $0.966 |
| $38 |
| 21h ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 251.76 | $0.993 | $250 | 21h ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No | buy | 538.03 | $0.994 | $534.8 | 3d ago |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No | sell | 614.11 | $0.870 | $534.28 | 3d ago |
| Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 158.02 | $0.949 | $150 | 7d ago |
| Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 161.29 | $0.930 | $150 | 7d ago |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 47.22 | $0.720 | $34 | 7d ago |
| Will the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote?No | buy | 255.74 | $0.978 | $250 | 7d ago |
| Iran leadership change by September 30?No | buy | 257.73 | $0.970 | $250 | 7d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 262.33 | $0.953 | $250 | 7d ago |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?No | buy | 536 | $0.974 | $522 | 15d ago |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No | buy | 614.12 | $0.850 | $522 | 15d ago |
 Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 1.15K | $0.866 | $1K | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 1.09K | $0.920 | $1K | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?No | buy | 519.79 | $0.960 | $499 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | buy | 310.1 | $0.990 | $307 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 771.74 | $0.920 | $710 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 833.33 | $0.900 | $750 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.03K | $0.975 | $1K | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?No | buy | 312.83 | $0.959 | $300 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | buy | 454.55 | $0.880 | $400 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 516.92 | $0.975 | $504 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on July 10?No | sell | 266.72 | $0.305 | $81.28 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on July 10?Yes | buy | 372.32 | $0.716 | $266.72 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on July 10?No | buy | 270.64 | $0.942 | $255 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.05K | $0.910 | $951.71 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on July 10?No | buy | 105.52 | $0.995 | $105 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 116.2 | $0.910 | $105.74 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on July 10?No | buy | 161.21 | $0.980 | $158 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 171.42 | $0.920 | $157.71 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 10?No | buy | 107.57 | $0.958 | $103 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Trump speak to Reza Pahlavi in July?No | sell | 105.26 | $0.983 | $103.49 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 10?No | buy | 116.29 | $0.890 | $103.5 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Megaquake by July 31?No | sell | 114.68 | $0.910 | $104.36 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 10?No | buy | 41.38 | $0.870 | $36 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 10?No | sell | 41.16 | $0.883 | $36.33 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 10?No | buy | 74.65 | $0.871 | $65 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on July 10?No | sell | 10 | $0.908 | $9.08 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 10?No | buy | 41.16 | $0.972 | $40 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on July 10?No | buy | 10 | $0.880 | $8.8 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 10?No | buy | 105.85 | $0.983 | $104 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 10?No | sell | 103.92 | $0.999 | $103.82 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 10?No | buy | 103.92 | $0.981 | $102 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | sell | 109.19 | $0.890 | $97.23 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 275.58 | $0.860 | $237 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 277.9 | $0.850 | $236.21 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 277.91 | $0.860 | $239 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on July 7?Yes | buy | 77.52 | $0.129 | $10 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 644.07 | $0.972 | $626 | Jul 7, 2026 |