Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 767.25 | $0.930 | $736.94 | +$23.4 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 767.25 | $0.930 | $713.54 | Jan 5, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 22.49 |
| $0.222 |
| $5 |
| Dec 7, 2025 |
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | buy | 152.37 | $0.033 | $5 | Dec 7, 2025 |
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | buy | 45.66 | $0.219 | $10 | Dec 7, 2025 |
Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 15.78 | $0.317 | $5 | Nov 9, 2025 |
Will Red Bull achieve the fastest lap at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 3.18 | $0.550 | $1.75 | Nov 9, 2025 |
Will there be a red flag during the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.240 | $3 | Nov 9, 2025 |
Mavericks vs. WizardsWizards | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Nov 9, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 14.08 | $0.710 | $10 | Nov 9, 2025 |
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?Yes | buy | 21.43 | $0.280 | $6 | Nov 9, 2025 |
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?No | sell | 16.12 | $0.200 | $3.22 | Nov 9, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?Yes | sell | 24.13 | $0.975 | $23.53 | Nov 9, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 45% and 50% of the vote in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 18.07 | $0.290 | $5.24 | Nov 4, 2025 |
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?No | buy | 16.13 | $0.310 | $5 | Nov 4, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?Yes | buy | 24.14 | $0.290 | $7 | Nov 4, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 15.64 | $0.960 | $15.01 | Sep 9, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 53.85 | $0.130 | $7 | Sep 9, 2025 |
Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 55.76 | $0.910 | $50.74 | Aug 24, 2025 |
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.008 | $0.13 | Aug 23, 2025 |
Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic before September?Yes | sell | 5.71 | $0.033 | $0.19 | Aug 23, 2025 |
Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.030 | $0.38 | Aug 23, 2025 |
Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | sell | 58.82 | $0.008 | $0.47 | Aug 23, 2025 |
Will Cluely declare bankruptcy in 2025?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.060 | $0.86 | Aug 23, 2025 |
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.220 | $22 | Aug 23, 2025 |
Will Powell say "Trump" during Jackson Hole speech on August 22?Yes | buy | 20.4 | $0.100 | $2.04 | Aug 22, 2025 |
Will Powell say "Probability" during September press conference?Yes | buy | 5.41 | $0.370 | $2 | Aug 22, 2025 |
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during September press conference?No | buy | 4.65 | $0.430 | $2 | Aug 22, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Aug 22, 2025 |
Will Max Verstappen leave Red Bull before 2026?Yes | sell | 29.99 | $0.047 | $1.41 | Aug 22, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | sell | 9.09 | $0.620 | $5.64 | Aug 22, 2025 |
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 23.1 | $0.200 | $4.62 | Aug 18, 2025 |
Will Volodymyr Zelensky win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 51.2 | $0.039 | $2 | Aug 18, 2025 |
OpenAI social app in 2025?No | sell | 10.19 | $0.650 | $6.62 | Aug 18, 2025 |
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by August 31?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.280 | $5.09 | Aug 12, 2025 |
Weed rescheduled in 2025?Yes | buy | 11.03 | $0.290 | $3.2 | Aug 10, 2025 |
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.210 | $21 | Aug 10, 2025 |
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 14.49 | $0.069 | $1 | Aug 10, 2025 |
Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.017 | $1 | Aug 10, 2025 |
Will Trump and Putin meet next in US?No | buy | 41.67 | $0.096 | $4 | Aug 10, 2025 |
Ethereum above $4200 on August 11?Yes | buy | 5.08 | $0.590 | $3 | Aug 10, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 380–394 times August 8–August 15?Yes | buy | 41.41 | $0.106 | $4.4 | Aug 10, 2025 |
Ethereum Up or Down - August 10, 1PM ETUp | buy | 9.76 | $0.410 | $4 | Aug 10, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 2PM ETDown | buy | 11.76 | $0.510 | $6 | Aug 10, 2025 |
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Sunday?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.260 | $2 | Aug 10, 2025 |
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | Aug 10, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 13.16 | $0.380 | $5 | Aug 10, 2025 |
Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 89.55 | $0.067 | $6 | Aug 9, 2025 |
Grok 5 released by December 31?Yes | buy | 12.66 | $0.790 | $10 | Aug 8, 2025 |
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?Yes | buy | 21.05 | $0.190 | $4 | Aug 8, 2025 |
OpenAI social app in 2025?No | buy | 10.19 | $0.491 | $5 | Aug 8, 2025 |