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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 182.65K | $0.987 | $181.83K | +$1.58K |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 61.16 | $0.980 | $59.94 | 2d ago |
 |
| No |
| 79.19K |
| $0.949 |
| $76.14K |
| +$964.72 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 36.83K | $0.923 | $34.44K | +$421.29 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 9.13K | $0.984 | $9.08K | +$97.33 |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 3.72K | $0.978 | $3.63K | -$6.15 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 4.09K | $0.777 | $3.54K | +$357.78 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | No | 3.36K | $0.970 | $3.33K | +$67.29 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 3.1K | $0.780 | $2.71K | +$294.5 |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | No | 2.7K | $0.990 | $2.66K | -$13.64 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 900 | $0.838 | $865.35 | +$111.35 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 199.98 | $0.930 | $188.99 | +$3 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.910 | $94.5 | +$3.5 |
| buy |
| 1.52K |
| $0.930 |
| $1.41K |
| 3d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.1K | $0.990 | $1.09K | 9d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 854.49 | $0.990 | $845.95 | 10d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 20K | $0.990 | $19.8K | 11d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 20K | $0.990 | $19.8K | 11d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 15.29K | $0.989 | $15.12K | 11d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 10K | $0.989 | $9.89K | 11d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 21.17 | $0.987 | $20.89 | 11d ago |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 1.53K | $0.954 | $1.46K | 26d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1K | $0.989 | $989 | 26d ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 11.51K | $0.930 | $10.7K | 28d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 521.06 | $0.982 | $511.68 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 1.71K | $0.954 | $1.63K | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 726.66 | $0.952 | $691.78 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 790.18 | $0.953 | $753.04 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 10K | $0.988 | $9.88K | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 767.06 | $0.983 | $754.02 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 356.25 | $0.957 | $340.93 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 698.86 | $0.989 | $691.17 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 2.82K | $0.930 | $2.63K | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 7.2K | $0.940 | $6.77K | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 1.96K | $0.956 | $1.88K | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 50K | $0.991 | $49.55K | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?No | buy | 1.26K | $0.969 | $1.22K | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 1K | $0.920 | $920 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 800 | $0.985 | $788 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 274.74 | $0.983 | $270.07 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2K | $0.977 | $1.95K | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1K | $0.975 | $975 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.02K | $0.975 | $997.43 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 44.2 | $0.984 | $43.49 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 1K | $0.920 | $920 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2.46K | $0.998 | $2.45K | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2K | $0.998 | $2K | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.910 | $91 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.997 | $49.85 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.22K | $0.997 | $1.22K | Jul 31, 2026 |
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 417.97 | $0.996 | $416.3 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2.2K | $0.996 | $2.19K | Jul 31, 2026 |
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 509 | $0.994 | $505.95 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 220 | $0.994 | $218.68 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 749.09 | $0.993 | $743.85 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 185 | $0.977 | $180.75 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 656.88 | $0.975 | $640.46 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 13.01K | $0.999 | $13K | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 20.04K | $0.998 | $20K | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 10.07K | $0.997 | $10.04K | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 103.36 | $0.935 | $96.64 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 179 | $0.935 | $167.37 | Jul 20, 2026 |