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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 89.42K | $0.633 | $66.62K | +$9.98K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win fewer than 50 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Yes | buy | 1.74K | $0.484 | $843.55 | 1d ago |
| No |
| 65.5K |
| $0.842 |
| $61.9K |
| +$6.76K |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 59.95K | $0.916 | $58.96K | +$4.05K |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 61.02K | $0.516 | $57.05K | +$25.57K |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 58.19K | $0.526 | $55.95K | +$25.35K |
 Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | Yes | 59.38K | $0.620 | $40.68K | +$3.88K |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | 29.21K | $0.895 | $28.29K | +$2.16K |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 29.07K | $0.860 | $27.47K | +$2.47K |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 23.76K | $0.912 | $23.04K | +$1.37K |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | No | 15.42K | $0.748 | $14.92K | +$3.39K |
| Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | No | 13.52K | $0.955 | $13.15K | +$229.98 |
| Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 11.61K | $0.949 | $11.5K | +$480.72 |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 26.78K | $0.586 | $10.04K | -$5.66K |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | No | 10K | $0.829 | $8.45K | +$160.15 |
 Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | No | 7.06K | $0.781 | $6.39K | +$873.08 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 6.59K | $0.766 | $5.24K | +$190.82 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | No | 5K | $0.650 | $4.37K | +$1.12K |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 4.21K | $0.570 | $3.71K | +$1.31K |
 Will New People (NL) win between 35 and 44 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | No | 3.8K | $0.946 | $3.47K | -$123.5 |
 Iran nuclear test before 2027? | No | 3.57K | $0.854 | $3.43K | +$374.76 |
| Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | No | 3.8K | $0.806 | $2.98K | -$83.6 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 2.88K | $0.870 | $2.75K | +$244.8 |
 Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? | No | 3.82K | $0.684 | $2.73K | +$119.53 |
| Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | Yes | 6.1K | $0.250 | $1.53K | +$0.89 |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win fewer than 50 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | Yes | 1.76K | $0.484 | $1.04K | +$186.66 |
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win fewer than 45 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Yes| buy |
| 750 |
| $0.809 |
| $606.7 |
| 5d ago |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.02K | $0.846 | $863.59 | 5d ago |
| Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?Yes | buy | 156.77 | $0.620 | $97.2 | 5d ago |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | buy | 4K | $0.770 | $3.08K | 6d ago |
| Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Yes | buy | 1.1K | $0.247 | $272.56 | 8d ago |
 Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?No | buy | 101 | $0.999 | $100.9 | 8d ago |
| Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?Yes | buy | 12.08K | $0.639 | $7.71K | 9d ago |
| Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?Yes | buy | 10.66K | $0.630 | $6.71K | 10d ago |
| Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?Yes | buy | 10.14K | $0.620 | $6.28K | 11d ago |
| Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?No | buy | 5.28K | $0.947 | $5.01K | 11d ago |
| Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?Yes | buy | 16.7K | $0.610 | $10.19K | 11d ago |
 Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.944 | $4.72 | 11d ago |
| Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?No | buy | 380 | $0.920 | $349.6 | 11d ago |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.5K | $0.704 | $1.06K | 11d ago |
| Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?Yes | buy | 9.48K | $0.600 | $5.69K | 11d ago |
| Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?No | buy | 6.08K | $0.960 | $5.84K | 11d ago |
| Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Yes | buy | 27.38 | $0.200 | $5.48 | 17d ago |
| Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?No | buy | 225.96 | $0.960 | $216.92 | 17d ago |
| Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?No | buy | 1.09K | $0.970 | $1.05K | 17d ago |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 7K | $0.998 | $6.98K | 17d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No | buy | 10K | $0.829 | $8.29K | 17d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No | buy | 15.07K | $0.748 | $11.27K | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?No | buy | 6K | $0.949 | $5.69K | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 7.24K | $0.990 | $7.17K | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will Mykhailo Drapatyi be appointed as the next Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in 2026?Yes | buy | 491.94 | $0.994 | $489.05 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 994.65 | $0.829 | $824.47 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.17K | $0.874 | $1.02K | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | buy | 1.11K | $0.880 | $974.62 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 567.41 | $0.998 | $566.28 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.150 | $45 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 769.91 | $0.294 | $226.58 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 7.64K | $0.480 | $3.67K | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | sell | 188.39 | $0.010 | $1.88 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | buy | 19.99K | $0.864 | $17.27K | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 5K | $0.996 | $4.98K | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 13.49K | $0.380 | $5.13K | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Yes | buy | 424 | $0.300 | $127.2 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 2.31K | $0.950 | $2.2K | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 265.45 | $0.860 | $228.22 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?No | buy | 81.49 | $0.954 | $77.74 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 29.07K | $0.860 | $25K | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will any U.S. Senator enter Iran by June 30?No | buy | 410.27 | $0.998 | $409.45 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will any U.S. Senator enter Iran by June 30?No | buy | 159.39 | $0.997 | $158.91 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 1.07K | $0.401 | $426.99 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 4.58K | $0.570 | $2.61K | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.84 | $0.930 | $7.29 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 6.79K | $0.840 | $5.7K | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 14.16K | $0.610 | $8.64K | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 754.34 | $0.950 | $716.62 | Jun 18, 2026 |