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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 178.84 | $0.503 | $93.89 | +$3.89 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in August 2026?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 96.15 |
| $0.520 |
| $48.32 |
| -$1.68 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 319.32 | $0.251 | $46.14 | -$33.86 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 160.27 | $0.218 | $38.54 | +$3.54 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | Yes | 833.33 | $0.060 | $32.08 | -$17.92 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 25.64 | $0.390 | $11.92 | +$1.92 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 29.41 | $0.340 | $10.44 | +$0.44 |
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 20.41 | $0.490 | $9.9 | -$0.1 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 98.41 | $0.203 | $6.4 | -$13.6 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 43.48 | $0.230 | $5.87 | -$4.13 |
 US x China tariff agreement by December 31? | No | 45.45 | $0.220 | $4.75 | -$5.25 |
 Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 135.94 | $0.294 | $2.92 | -$37.08 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 27.78 | $0.540 | $2.92 | -$12.08 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 52.63 | $0.190 | $2.55 | -$7.45 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 41.67 | $0.240 | $2.5 | -$7.5 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 112.22 | $0.089 | $1.85 | -$8.15 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Yes | 37.04 | $0.270 | $1.67 | -$8.33 |
 Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 21.79 | $0.459 | $1.19 | -$8.81 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 71.43 | $0.280 | $1.18 | -$18.82 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 29.41 | $0.170 | $0.99 | -$4.01 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 48.1 | $0.208 | $0.19 | -$9.81 |
 Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 204.3 | $0.024 | $0.1 | -$4.9 |
| buy |
| 55.56 |
| $0.090 |
| $5 |
| Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.390 | $10 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 67.57 | $0.074 | $5 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.180 | $10 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 126.58 | $0.079 | $10 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.045 | $5 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | buy | 116.28 | $0.043 | $5 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 45.05 | $0.222 | $10 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 29.41 | $0.340 | $10 | May 30, 2026 |
| US x China tariff agreement by December 31?No | buy | 45.45 | $0.220 | $10 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.370 | $10 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.290 | $5 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 24.39 | $0.410 | $10 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will turnout in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary be between 100,000 and 110,000 voters?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.290 | $10 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.450 | $5 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Sovereign" or "Sovereignty" during Chinese State Banquet?Yes | buy | 23.51 | $0.638 | $15 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 82.99 | $0.241 | $20 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.230 | $10 | May 12, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | buy | 204.3 | $0.024 | $5 | May 10, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.310 | $10 | May 10, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 120.93 | $0.248 | $30 | May 7, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.210 | $10 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes | buy | 384.62 | $0.013 | $5 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.400 | $5 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.89 | $0.629 | $10 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.270 | $10 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 36.36 | $0.275 | $10 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | buy | 28.57 | $0.350 | $10 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.720 | $10 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.420 | $10 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 104.71 | $0.191 | $20 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.650 | $10 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.95 | $0.590 | $10 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 20.41 | $0.490 | $10 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?Yes | buy | 54.05 | $0.370 | $20 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?Yes | buy | 12.51 | $0.380 | $4.75 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.400 | $10 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?Yes | buy | 33.14 | $0.302 | $10 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | buy | 40.82 | $0.490 | $20 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | buy | 21.79 | $0.459 | $10 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 10?Up | buy | 27.03 | $0.370 | $10 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.055 | $5 | Mar 10, 2026 |