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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December? | No | 1.56K | $0.763 | $1.11K | -$74.85 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | sell | 636.29 | $0.964 | $613.7 | 17d ago |
|
| No |
| 1.05K |
| $0.955 |
| $1.01K |
| +$6.81 |
 Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1.4K | $0.600 | $848.43 | +$7.01 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 811.87 | $0.369 | $407.96 | +$107.96 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 246.91 | $0.810 | $211.11 | +$11.11 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 140.85 | $0.710 | $127.46 | +$27.46 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 131.59 | $0.760 | $123.03 | +$23.03 |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 100 | $0.972 | $98.75 | +$1.55 |
| buy |
| 1.05K |
| $0.955 |
| $1K |
| 26d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.252 | $50.4 | 26d ago |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 3.6K | $0.153 | $549 | 26d ago |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 1.2K | $0.169 | $202.8 | 26d ago |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?No | sell | 575.17 | $0.550 | $316.48 | 26d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.4K | $0.600 | $841.42 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 621.56 | $0.982 | $610.24 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 246.91 | $0.810 | $200 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 634.3 | $0.650 | $412.29 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 1.16K | $0.086 | $100 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 4.1K | $0.048 | $196.8 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 336.51 | $0.639 | $215 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 297.79 | $0.620 | $184.63 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December?No | buy | 96.25 | $0.497 | $47.86 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?No | buy | 1.23K | $0.773 | $950.69 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.924 | $277.2 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Yes | sell | 499.99 | $0.530 | $264.99 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 57.47 | $0.174 | $10 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 1.75K | $0.078 | $136.72 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 649.99 | $0.680 | $441.99 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 408.16 | $0.980 | $400 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 321.58 | $0.964 | $310 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.85K | $0.206 | $381.51 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 178.57 | $0.997 | $178.03 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 131.58 | $0.760 | $100 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes | sell | 10.08 | $0.450 | $4.54 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?Yes | sell | 799.18 | $0.220 | $175.82 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 64.62 | $0.027 | $1.74 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?No | sell | 2K | $0.090 | $180 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 811.87 | $0.370 | $300 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 140.85 | $0.710 | $100 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 203.35 | $0.984 | $200 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.85K | $0.243 | $450 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 544.27 | $0.460 | $250.36 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 500 | $0.650 | $325 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Nate Blouin be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?Yes | sell | 2.92K | $0.090 | $262.8 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 178.57 | $0.920 | $164.28 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 636.27 | $0.943 | $600 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 576.92 | $0.520 | $300 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 357.14 | $0.910 | $325 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Safepoint not IPO before August 2026?No | sell | 3.76K | $0.070 | $264.4 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Safepoint not IPO before August 2026?No | sell | 1.31K | $0.073 | $95.51 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 34.34 | $0.832 | $28.58 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Dan Schwartz be the Democratic nominee for MD-01?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.930 | $93 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 342.16 | $0.048 | $16.42 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 2.5K | $0.800 | $2K | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 2.5K | $0.810 | $2.03K | Jun 12, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?No | sell | 1.97K | $0.937 | $1.85K | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Yes | sell | 99.37 | $0.078 | $7.77 | Jun 11, 2026 |