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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 1.14K | $0.879 | $1.09K | +$91.61 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw?Yes | sell | 29.41 | $0.600 | $17.65 | Jun 15, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 1.08K |
| $0.930 |
| $1.03K |
| +$33.87 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | No | 117.76 | $0.849 | $109.87 | +$9.87 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 116.28 | $0.860 | $108.72 | +$8.72 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 12.06 | $0.829 | $11.67 | +$1.67 |
| buy |
| 29.41 |
| $0.340 |
| $10 |
| Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?Yes | buy | 19.61 | $0.510 | $10 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.280 | $20 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?Yes | buy | 106.16 | $0.942 | $100 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 12.06 | $0.829 | $10 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 117.76 | $0.849 | $100 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 116.28 | $0.860 | $100 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 1.08K | $0.930 | $1K | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.14K | $0.879 | $1K | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.05K | $0.956 | $1K | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.04K | $0.964 | $1K | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 452.18 | $0.942 | $426.1 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | sell | 319.48 | $0.997 | $318.52 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will Zhipu AI have a #1 AI model this year?No | sell | 108.33 | $0.993 | $107.59 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced in 2025?No | buy | 286 | $0.979 | $279.99 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| TikTok sale announced by March 31?No | buy | 172.76 | $0.579 | $100 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| TikTok sale announced in 2025?No | buy | 108.7 | $0.920 | $100 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?No | sell | 14.92 | $0.930 | $13.88 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?No | buy | 14.93 | $0.670 | $10 | Nov 1, 2025 |
| TikTok sale announced by October 31?No | sell | 431.49 | $0.985 | $425.13 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| TikTok sale announced by October 31?No | buy | 331.49 | $0.905 | $300 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| TikTok sale announced by October 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.904 | $90.4 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will Alibaba have the second best AI model on October 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.680 | $6.8 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 OpenAI browser by October 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.130 | $13 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 300 | $0.930 | $279 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 15?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.940 | $28.2 | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 15?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.790 | $23.7 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Will Alibaba have the second best AI model on October 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?No | sell | 100 | $0.970 | $97 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on October 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.870 | $87 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 1.06K | $0.940 | $1K | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?No | buy | 100 | $0.900 | $90 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| TikTok sale announced by October 31?No | sell | 100 | $0.890 | $89 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Will Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 10.52 | $0.976 | $10.27 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?Yes | sell | 12.19 | $0.981 | $11.96 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Will Eugenio Giani win Tuscany Regional Election?Yes | sell | 10.63 | $0.988 | $10.5 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.983 | $98.3 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Will the Party of Action and Solidarity win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 11.36 | $0.998 | $11.34 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by September 30?No | sell | 40 | $0.963 | $38.52 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| TikTok sale announced by October 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.750 | $75 | Sep 28, 2025 |
 Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.830 | $83 | Sep 28, 2025 |
 Will Eric Adams drop out by September 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.830 | $83 | Sep 28, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on October 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.730 | $73 | Sep 28, 2025 |
| OpenAI browser by October 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.710 | $71 | Sep 28, 2025 |
| TikTok sale announced by September 30?No | sell | 100 | $0.860 | $86 | Sep 26, 2025 |
| TikTok sale announced by September 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.740 | $74 | Sep 24, 2025 |
| OpenAI browser by September 30?No | sell | 137.15 | $0.940 | $128.92 | Sep 22, 2025 |
| TikTok sale announced in 2025?Yes | sell | 168.02 | $0.740 | $124.33 | Sep 21, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30?Yes | sell | 100.3 | $0.020 | $2.01 | Sep 20, 2025 |