Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.2%. Yes opened at 44.5% on 19 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 44 daily closes on record from 19 Aug 2025 to 1 Oct 2025, the highest close was 44.5% on 19 Aug 2025 and the lowest 0.5% on 30 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 17.5% on 13 Sep 2025. $317.01K traded over the market's life.
60 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 2, 8:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 44 points, 19 Aug 2025 – 1 Oct 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Aug 2025 | 44.5% |
| 1 Oct 2025 | 0.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| oapine | Yes | 12.54K |
| einstein | Yes | 7.22K |
| acascuseme | Yes | 5.23K |
| Maxios | Yes | 929.64 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI publicly releases a standalone web browser that is intended for general web browsing and is available for use by the public in at least one country or region by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," such a browser must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling free waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. Browser extensions, plugins, or integrations within third-party browsers do not count; it must be a standalone browser application. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from OpenAI. If there is ambiguity, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/openai-browser-by-september-30
| duderr | Yes | 555 |
| 47Art | Yes | 150 |
| boogz | Yes | 136.83 |
| vlss | Yes | 111.11 |
| shresth.31 | No | 80.65 |
| llxll | Yes | 71.43 |
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