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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 45.45 | $0.110 | $2.95 | -$2.05 |
 Will Russia invade another country in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.270 | $10 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 25 |
| $0.120 |
| $1.63 |
| -$1.38 |
 Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31? | Yes | 19.87 | $0.252 | $0.89 | -$4.11 |
| buy |
| 60.9 |
| $0.033 |
| $2 |
| Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 35.49 | $0.056 | $2 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 42.95 | $0.043 | $1.85 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 37.68 | $0.049 | $1.85 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 30.42 | $0.657 | $20 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.120 | $3 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 153.73 | $0.030 | $4.61 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.54 | $0.350 | $4.74 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 83.85 | $0.022 | $1.84 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 42.95 | $0.043 | $1.85 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 75.86 | $0.024 | $1.84 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 30.14 | $0.030 | $0.91 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 46.16 | $0.040 | $1.85 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will Putin visit China by May 31?No | buy | 18.25 | $0.164 | $3 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 83.67 | $0.060 | $5 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31?Yes | buy | 19.87 | $0.252 | $5 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 US government shutdown by October 1?No | buy | 112.82 | $0.390 | $44 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?No | buy | 27 | $0.963 | $26 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 Elon Musk trillionaire in 2025?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.034 | $1 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product in 2025?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 OpenAI acquired in 2025?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy in 2025?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI launch a token in 2025?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 OpenAI browser by September 30?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?Yes | buy | 20.35 | $0.983 | $20 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| US government shutdown by October 1?No | buy | 303 | $0.330 | $99.99 | Sep 29, 2025 |