Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 16 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 140 daily closes on record from 16 Aug 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 49.5% on 16 Aug 2025 and the lowest 0.2% on 29 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 41 points down, to 8.5% on 17 Aug 2025. $100.32K traded over the market's life.
97 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 1, 4:31 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 140 points, 16 Aug 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Aug 2025 | 49.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| betsmagee | Yes | 15.41K |
| RightMan | Yes | 1.22K |
| Webbed-Chimpanzee | Yes | 1K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI officially launches a token by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The token must be publicly announced and transferable on a blockchain. The resolution source will be public announcements from OpenAI.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-openai-launch-a-token-in-2025
| Yes |
| 1K |
| roxzor | Yes | 559.99 |
| Homeless | Yes | 477.86 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 267 |
| Hamzawins | Yes | 262.78 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 254 |
| Cobalt Meteor 78C1 | Yes | 236.51 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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