Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Venezuela become 51st state? | Yes | 667.67 | $0.045 | $15.69 | -$14.31 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 76.92 | $0.013 | $1 | May 10, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 10 |
| $0.500 |
| $5.25 |
| +$0.25 |
 Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? | Yes | 90.91 | $0.110 | $2.05 | -$7.95 |
 Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1.17 | +$0.17 |
 Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 200 | $0.005 | $0.5 | -$0.5 |
 Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 200 | $0.005 | $0.3 | -$0.7 |
 EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31? | Yes | 7.14 | $0.140 | $0.27 | -$0.73 |
 Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 90.91 | $0.011 | $0.23 | -$0.77 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 9.09 | $0.110 | $0.16 | -$0.84 |
 Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 250 | $0.004 | $0.13 | -$0.88 |
| buy |
| 31.25 |
| $0.032 |
| $1 |
| May 10, 2026 |
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?No | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | May 8, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | May 8, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?No | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | May 8, 2026 |
 Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | May 8, 2026 |
 Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | May 8, 2026 |
 Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | May 8, 2026 |
 Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | May 8, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?No | buy | 52.69 | $0.019 | $1 | May 5, 2026 |
 Trump out as President by May 31?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?No | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | May 5, 2026 |
 Military action against Iran ends by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 177.49 | $0.056 | $10 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by December 31?No | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by April 30?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by April 30?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.180 | $2 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.070 | $2 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike UAE again in March?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 95.24 | $0.021 | $2 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by March 31?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes | buy | 106.38 | $0.047 | $5 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?No | buy | 29.85 | $0.033 | $1 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 7?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.130 | $2 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Kuwait in March?No | sell | 282.68 | $0.048 | $13.44 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Bahrain in March?No | buy | 147.06 | $0.034 | $5 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Saudi Arabia in March?No | buy | 143.7 | $0.035 | $5 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Qatar in March?No | buy | 138.8 | $0.036 | $5 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Kuwait in March?No | buy | 282.68 | $0.018 | $5 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike UAE in March?No | buy | 292.25 | $0.017 | $5 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 714.29 | $0.007 | $5 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.110 | $10 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 23.26 | $0.043 | $1 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 41.7 | $0.024 | $1 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.034 | $1 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?No | buy | 1.02K | $0.020 | $20 | Feb 2, 2026 |