Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 111.11 | $0.090 | $14.72 | +$4.72 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.230 | $5 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 18.07 |
| $0.910 |
| $16.44 |
| Oct 8, 2025 |
 US x China tariff agreement by November 10?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.930 | $11.63 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | sell | 18.07 | $0.910 | $16.44 | Sep 12, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | sell | 26.31 | $0.840 | $22.1 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?Yes | sell | 397.69 | $0.009 | $3.38 | Sep 5, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?Yes | sell | 17.24 | $0.780 | $13.45 | Sep 5, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $114K in September?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.800 | $10 | Sep 4, 2025 |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?No | buy | 18.07 | $0.830 | $15 | Sep 4, 2025 |
 Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?Yes | buy | 20.55 | $0.730 | $15 | Sep 4, 2025 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | buy | 25.86 | $0.580 | $15 | Sep 4, 2025 |
 Will Eric Adams drop out?Yes | buy | 21.43 | $0.700 | $15 | Sep 4, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland?Yes | sell | 169.33 | $0.006 | $1.02 | Sep 3, 2025 |
 Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?Yes | buy | 16.95 | $0.590 | $10 | Sep 3, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | Sep 3, 2025 |
 Will Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by December 31?Yes | sell | 28.94 | $0.510 | $14.76 | Sep 3, 2025 |
 Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.420 | $20 | Sep 3, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?Yes | buy | 46.51 | $0.430 | $20 | Sep 3, 2025 |
 OpenAI social app in 2025?Yes | sell | 32.6 | $0.560 | $18.26 | Sep 1, 2025 |
| Bitcoin above $110K on September 1?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.680 | $20 | Aug 29, 2025 |
 Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?Yes | sell | 35.08 | $0.890 | $31.22 | Aug 29, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US?Yes | sell | 483.92 | $0.041 | $19.8 | Aug 29, 2025 |
 Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.780 | $15 | Aug 28, 2025 |
 David Baszucki out as Roblox CEO in 2025?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.180 | $20 | Aug 28, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI launch a token in 2025?Yes | buy | 236.51 | $0.063 | $15 | Aug 28, 2025 |
| OpenAI social app in 2025?Yes | buy | 32.61 | $0.460 | $15 | Aug 28, 2025 |
| Will Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by December 31?Yes | buy | 28.95 | $0.518 | $15 | Aug 28, 2025 |
| Will Microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | buy | 18.07 | $0.830 | $15 | Aug 28, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.150 | $10 | Aug 28, 2025 |
 Will iPhone 17 cost more than $800?Yes | buy | 21.28 | $0.470 | $10 | Aug 28, 2025 |
| Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.580 | $10 | Aug 28, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by September 30?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.270 | $10 | Aug 28, 2025 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in August?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.500 | $20 | Aug 28, 2025 |
| Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?Yes | buy | 35.09 | $0.570 | $20 | Aug 28, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 1AM ETUp | buy | 32.29 | $0.619 | $20 | Aug 28, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 26.32 | $0.760 | $20 | Aug 28, 2025 |
 1,425+ Measles cases in U.S. by September 30?Yes | sell | 16.94 | $0.900 | $15.25 | Aug 27, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?No | sell | 40 | $0.479 | $19.15 | Aug 27, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | sell | 25.31 | $0.984 | $24.91 | Aug 27, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August?Yes | sell | 111.73 | $0.302 | $33.74 | Aug 27, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 1AM ETUp | buy | 37.5 | $0.800 | $30 | Aug 26, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 1AM ETUp | buy | 43.48 | $0.230 | $10 | Aug 25, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 1AM ETUp | buy | 37.04 | $0.270 | $10 | Aug 25, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland?Yes | buy | 169.33 | $0.059 | $10 | Aug 22, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US?Yes | buy | 483.93 | $0.021 | $10 | Aug 22, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 6AM ETUp | buy | 95.24 | $0.210 | $20 | Aug 22, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August?Yes | buy | 111.73 | $0.179 | $20 | Aug 22, 2025 |
 GPT-5 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | Aug 13, 2025 |
| Bitcoin above $120K on August 18?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.520 | $20 | Aug 13, 2025 |
 Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.060 | $10 | Aug 13, 2025 |