Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 12% on 11 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 326 daily closes on record from 11 Feb 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 18.5% on 12 Feb 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 18 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 6.5 points up, to 18.5% on 12 Feb 2025. $70.85K traded over the market's life.
95 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 326 points, 11 Feb 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Feb 2025 | 12.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire OpenAI (or the nonprofit that controls OpenAI) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Mergers where OpenAI is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution. An announced agreement between OpenAI and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Sam Altman and/or OpenAI however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/openai-acquired-in-2025
New to prediction markets?
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 393.99 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 287 |
| shipcoinidiot | Yes | 252.78 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 240 |
| Organic-Mama | Yes | 238.8 |
| jim11 | No | 187.29 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 181 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
