Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 2.15K | $0.930 | $2.08K | +$84.95 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 538.37 | $0.472 | $254.19 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 350 |
| $0.760 |
| $266 |
| Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 2.15K | $0.930 | $2K | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | buy | 250 | $0.800 | $200 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 538.37 | $0.520 | $280 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.800 | $80 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?Yes | buy | 212.77 | $0.470 | $100 | Jul 19, 2025 |
 U.S. enacts AI safety bill in 2025?Yes | sell | 77 | $0.183 | $14.06 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model this year?Yes | sell | 139.21 | $0.100 | $13.92 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk buy OpenAI in 2025?No | buy | 537.63 | $0.930 | $500 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 105.26 | $0.190 | $20 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Israel military action against Iran in July?Yes | buy | 95.21 | $0.420 | $40 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?No | buy | 217.39 | $0.092 | $20 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.560 | $20 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 148.14 | $0.036 | $5.33 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 UK strike on Iran before July?Yes | sell | 669.83 | $0.005 | $3.61 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Israel announces end of military operations against Iran before July?No | sell | 126.67 | $0.180 | $22.8 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Another US military action against Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 518.15 | $0.386 | $199.8 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Another US military action against Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 63.49 | $0.630 | $40 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes | buy | 87.72 | $0.570 | $50 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will Elon cut the budget by at least 10% in 2025?Yes | sell | 66.66 | $0.020 | $1.33 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will India invade Pakistan before July?Yes | sell | 103.64 | $0.007 | $0.73 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Yes | sell | 30.57 | $0.009 | $0.28 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Israel announces end of military operations against Iran before July?No | buy | 126.68 | $0.789 | $100 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| UK strike on Iran before July?Yes | buy | 669.83 | $0.060 | $40 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Another US military action against Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 227.27 | $0.440 | $100 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Another US military action against Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 227.39 | $0.440 | $100 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes | buy | 357.14 | $0.560 | $200 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?Yes | buy | 170.94 | $0.585 | $100 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.160 | $40 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes | buy | 64.92 | $0.616 | $40 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 148.15 | $0.270 | $40 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 182.15 | $0.549 | $100 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 150 | $0.667 | $100 | May 27, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 375.76 | $0.266 | $100 | May 27, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.400 | $100 | May 27, 2025 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?No | buy | 112.36 | $0.890 | $100 | May 27, 2025 |
| U.S. enacts AI safety bill in 2025?Yes | buy | 77 | $0.130 | $10 | May 27, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek be #1 model before July?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.100 | $30 | May 27, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk buy OpenAI in 2025?No | buy | 105.26 | $0.950 | $100 | May 27, 2025 |
 OpenAI acquired in 2025?No | buy | 126.32 | $0.950 | $120 | May 27, 2025 |
 AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025?Yes | buy | 294.12 | $0.170 | $50 | May 27, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?Yes | buy | 115.74 | $0.864 | $100 | May 27, 2025 |
 OpenAI social app in 2025?Yes | buy | 235.29 | $0.340 | $80 | May 27, 2025 |
 Will any AI score ≥85% on ARC-AGI-2 by November 3?Yes | buy | 318.94 | $0.314 | $100 | May 27, 2025 |
| AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?Yes | buy | 429.68 | $0.140 | $60 | May 27, 2025 |
 Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?No | buy | 1.03K | $0.969 | $1K | May 27, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Yes | buy | 30.57 | $0.327 | $10 | May 11, 2025 |
 Anthropic acquired in 2025?No | buy | 539.02 | $0.928 | $500 | May 11, 2025 |
| Will any AI score ≥85% on ARC-AGI-2 by November 3?Yes | buy | 56.69 | $0.353 | $20 | May 11, 2025 |