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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 328.36 | $0.073 | $23.87 | 26d ago |
 |
| buy |
| 500 |
| $0.042 |
| $20.96 |
| Oct 19, 2025 |
 Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?Yes | sell | 423.9 | $0.674 | $285.75 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?Yes | sell | 21 | $0.490 | $10.29 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Will Timothée Chalamet be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 263.15 | $0.901 | $237.19 | Oct 15, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.930 | $9.3 | Oct 15, 2025 |
| Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.688 | $206.26 | Oct 15, 2025 |
 Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.951 | $951.01 | Oct 15, 2025 |
 Will the federal government be shut down for 10–29 days in 2025?Yes | sell | 241.65 | $0.320 | $77.33 | Oct 15, 2025 |
 Will Sam Altman say "Trump" during TBPN appearance on October 10?No | buy | 20 | $0.570 | $11.4 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 GPT ads by December 31?Yes | buy | 266.55 | $0.177 | $47.26 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.800 | $160 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.080 | $20 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?Yes | buy | 343.84 | $0.450 | $154.73 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Will Taylor Swift say "Tour" during Late Night with Seth Meyers?No | buy | 66.67 | $0.150 | $10 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 15?No | buy | 103.45 | $0.290 | $30 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.060 | $6 | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?Yes | buy | 294.12 | $0.680 | $200 | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 15?Yes | sell | 810.32 | $0.428 | $346.92 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?Yes | buy | 984.67 | $0.102 | $100 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.808 | $161.62 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.040 | $8 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?Yes | buy | 174.09 | $0.574 | $100 | Oct 5, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?Yes | buy | 277.47 | $0.141 | $39 | Oct 5, 2025 |
 Will 'The Fate of Ophelia' be the most streamed song on 'The Life of a Showgirl' on Oct 10th?Yes | sell | 59.93 | $0.973 | $58.29 | Oct 5, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?Yes | buy | 127.69 | $0.650 | $83 | Oct 5, 2025 |
| Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.430 | $2.15 | Oct 3, 2025 |
| Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 15?Yes | buy | 810.33 | $0.370 | $300 | Oct 3, 2025 |
| Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 3?Yes | buy | 563.06 | $0.888 | $500 | Oct 3, 2025 |
| Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 3?No | sell | 201.86 | $0.114 | $22.95 | Oct 3, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?Yes | buy | 526.32 | $0.380 | $200 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Will Savannah Louie win Survivor season 49?No | sell | 749.09 | $0.120 | $89.56 | Oct 2, 2025 |
| Will Savannah Louie win Survivor season 49?No | buy | 179.1 | $0.558 | $100 | Oct 2, 2025 |
| Will Savannah Louie win Survivor season 49?No | buy | 16.22 | $0.530 | $8.6 | Oct 2, 2025 |
| Will Savannah Louie win Survivor season 49?No | buy | 56.66 | $0.529 | $30 | Oct 2, 2025 |
| Will Savannah Louie win Survivor season 49?No | buy | 96.15 | $0.520 | $50 | Oct 2, 2025 |
| Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 3?No | buy | 101.86 | $0.491 | $50 | Oct 2, 2025 |
| Will Savannah Louie win Survivor season 49?No | buy | 400.96 | $0.499 | $200 | Oct 2, 2025 |
| Will 'The Fate of Ophelia' be the most streamed song on 'The Life of a Showgirl' on Oct 10th?Yes | buy | 59.94 | $0.818 | $49 | Oct 1, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?Yes | sell | 394.82 | $0.849 | $335.1 | Oct 1, 2025 |
| Will the federal government be shut down for 10–29 days in 2025?Yes | buy | 241.65 | $0.414 | $100 | Oct 1, 2025 |
| Will the federal government be shut down for 4–9 days in 2025?Yes | buy | 255.02 | $0.353 | $90 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Will "The Official Release Party of a Showgirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 48m?Yes | buy | 44.44 | $0.180 | $8 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Will "The Official Release Party of a Showgirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 38m and 43m?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.310 | $10 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | sell | 206.68 | $0.974 | $201.4 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the second best AI model on October 31?Yes | buy | 86.21 | $0.058 | $5 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the second best AI model on September 30?Yes | buy | 589.24 | $0.034 | $20 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model on October 31?Yes | sell | 1.04K | $0.015 | $15.51 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the second best AI model on September 30?Yes | buy | 693.51 | $0.029 | $20 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the second best AI model on September 30?Yes | buy | 413.31 | $0.024 | $10 | Sep 29, 2025 |