Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 19% on 20 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 136 daily closes on record from 20 Aug 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 21% on 21 Aug 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 11% on 22 Aug 2025. $563.38K traded over the market's life.
214 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 6, 8:39 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 136 points, 20 Aug 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Aug 2025 | 19.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| justanothertrader227 | Yes | 5.03K |
| predictimo | Yes | 4.07K |
| ocneooaindoiadn | Yes | 4K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI integrates advertisements into ChatGPT, GPT-4, GPT-4.1, GPT-5, or any successor general-purpose GPT model made publicly available by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Limited advertisement releases restricted to a specific region, model, or user group will qualify. The release must be publicly announced as accessible to the relevant users. Closed betas or fully private testing do not count. Once implemented, the market will resolve to “Yes” immediately, regardless of whether the integration is later removed. An announcement will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes"; only the release of the advertisement integration will trigger a "Yes" resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/openai-implements-ads-on-llm-by-december-31
| Yes |
| 1.76K |
| matt79 | Yes | 1.62K |
| Marketman6 | Yes | 1.52K |
| M4KI | Yes | 1.06K |
| Violet Comet CBC1 | Yes | 1K |
| sviri | Yes | 1K |
| funding | Yes | 1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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