Latest trade
Aug 31, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 2:14 AM UTC.
Analytics
Arbed has made $48.14 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 5 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-01-01 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Aug 31, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 2:14 AM UTC.
$46.19 median trade
Its latest 23 trades covered 11 markets; 91.3% were buys. They run from Jul 13, 2025 UTC to Aug 31, 2025 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 104.5 | $0.960 | $100.32 | Aug 31, 2025 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-01-01 09:20 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 02:14 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
23 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 02:14 UTC
polymarket positions
7 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-01-01 09:20 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $38.21 and losing ones cost $33.2 across 5 settled positions. 80% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $15.22 on “Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 14?” (No); the largest loss, $33.2 on “Will Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 31 Aug 2025. It has traded 11 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 243.46 |
| $0.930 |
| $226.42 |
| Aug 31, 2025 UTC |
| OpenAI acquired in 2025?No | buy | 100 | $0.930 | $93 | Aug 31, 2025 UTC |
| OpenAI acquired in 2025?No | buy | 100 | $0.930 | $93 | Aug 31, 2025 UTC |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 105 | $0.950 | $99.75 | Aug 31, 2025 UTC |
 5% GDP contraction in Q3 2025?No | buy | 106 | $0.971 | $102.93 | Aug 31, 2025 UTC |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by September 30?No | buy | 103 | $0.971 | $100.01 | Aug 31, 2025 UTC |
 Will Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.288 | $28.8 | Aug 25, 2025 UTC |
 Will anyone say "Omniverse" during the Q2 2025 Nvidia earnings call?Yes | buy | 250.7 | $0.940 | $235.66 | Aug 25, 2025 UTC |
| Will anyone say "Sovereign" during the Q2 2025 Nvidia earnings call?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.930 | $102.3 | Aug 25, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | sell | 299 | $0.249 | $74.45 | Jul 14, 2025 UTC |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 14?No | buy | 42 | $0.840 | $35.28 | Jul 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 14?No | buy | 50 | $0.830 | $41.5 | Jul 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.620 | $62 | Jul 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.246 | $2.21 | Jul 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.235 | $7.05 | Jul 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.235 | $7.05 | Jul 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.232 | $6.96 | Jul 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 180 | $0.257 | $46.19 | Jul 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.237 | $1.19 | Jul 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 5.03 | $0.237 | $1.19 | Jul 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.237 | $2.37 | Jul 13, 2025 UTC |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $118K on July 13 at 5PM ET?No | buy | 100 | $0.034 | $3.4 | Jul 13, 2025 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.