Analytics
Resolved Yes on 18 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.9%. Yes opened at 54% on 12 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 161 daily closes on record from 12 Jul 2025 to 18 Dec 2025, the highest close was 99.9% on 18 Dec 2025 and the lowest 2.5% on 8 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 76 points up, to 99.9% on 18 Dec 2025. $282.74K traded over the market's life.
105 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 12, 4:01 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 161 points, 12 Jul 2025 – 18 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Jul 2025 | 54.0% |
| 18 Dec 2025 | 99.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| sonnohl | No | 13.52K |
| Conscious-Piece | No | 6K |
| oliman2 | No | 4.3K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-leave-trump-administration-in-2025
| SumGuys | No | 2.5K |
| rulki | No | 1.73K |
| surf | No | 1.36K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 1.04K |
| Sonal999 | No | 1K |
| tiancs | No | 1K |
| MyLige | No | 1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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