Analytics
Resolved Yes on 20 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 30% on 2 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 32 daily closes on record from 2 Apr 2026 to 20 May 2026 (17 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 100% on 20 May 2026 and the lowest 30% on 2 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 15 points up, to 77.5% on 12 May 2026. $923.26K traded over the market's life.
282 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 21, 6:42 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 32 points, 2 Apr 2026 – 20 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Apr 2026 | 30.0% |
| 20 May 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Disgusting-Overflight | No | 58.11K |
| bogdanc1 | No | 31.31K |
| Carlosbahena | No | 20.58K |
| Cobalt Ledger FDCD | No | 15.96K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
If Vladimir Putin visits China by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Putin physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Whether or not Putin enters Chinese airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Vladimir Putin, the Federal Government of Russia, and the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-putin-visit-china-by-may-31
New to prediction markets?
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| trumptalent | No | 5.94K |
| Stifenrobert | No | 5.55K |
