Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 8.5% on 8 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 360 daily closes on record from 8 Jan 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 14.5% on 21 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 31 Dec 2025. $333.56K traded over the market's life.
128 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 360 points, 8 Jan 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Jan 2025 | 8.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| artfart | Yes | 8.48K |
| thismaysoundcornybutloveistheanswer | Yes | 5.81K |
| Brilliant-Urge | Yes | 2.76K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk's net worth, as listed on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index, reaches or exceeds $1 trillion at any point by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-trillionaire-in-2025
| Finocchiese | Yes | 1.45K |
| Any-Experience | Yes | 1.34K |
| openint | Yes | 1.12K |
| MatanE | Yes | 1.07K |
| MaximusPermabear | Yes | 947.22 |
| FloppyGuy | Yes | 913.75 |
| MilliChad | Yes | 903.57 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
