Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 5.77K | $0.260 | $894.23 | -$605.76 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 5.77K | $0.260 | $1.5K | 18d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 793.92 |
| $0.290 |
| $190.94 |
| -$39.06 |
 Elon Bull Run Combo | Yes | 1.42K | $0.154 | $75.5 | -$144.5 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 3.46K | $0.043 | $67.51 | -$82.49 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 571.43 | $0.210 | $42 | -$78 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 363.64 | $0.110 | $14 | -$26 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 208.33 | $0.480 | $13.54 | -$86.46 |
 Will Venezuela become 51st state? | Yes | 238.07 | $0.084 | $5.59 | -$14.41 |
| buy |
| 55.56 |
| $0.360 |
| $20 |
| Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 208.33 | $0.480 | $100 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 270.27 | $0.370 | $100 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Elon Bull Run ComboYes | buy | 1.42K | $0.154 | $220 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 US downs another Iranian drone by February 28?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.310 | $5 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 Seahawks vs. PatriotsPatriots | buy | 303.03 | $0.330 | $100 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | buy | 161.29 | $0.310 | $50 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by January 31?Yes | buy | 374.75 | $0.801 | $300 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | buy | 3.7K | $0.270 | $1K | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will Venezuela become 51st state?Yes | buy | 238.07 | $0.084 | $20 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will Jensen Huang say "Elon" or "Musk" during NVIDIA keynote?Yes | buy | 29.06 | $0.688 | $20 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will Jensen Huang say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during NVIDIA keynote?Yes | buy | 32.46 | $0.616 | $20 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | buy | 10.5K | $0.002 | $21 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.002 | $20 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 102.56 | $0.390 | $40 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to Midnight?Yes | buy | 56.51 | $0.708 | $40 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 701.92 | $0.057 | $40 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 857.91 | $0.047 | $40 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 363.64 | $0.110 | $40 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?Yes | buy | 44.82 | $0.446 | $20 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Cilia Flores released from custody by January 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 228.23 | $0.175 | $40 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?Yes | buy | 142.38 | $0.070 | $10 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Maduro mugshot released by Monday?Yes | buy | 31.82 | $0.660 | $21 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | buy | 3.13K | $0.008 | $25 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | buy | 753.16 | $0.133 | $100 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Elon Musk trillionaire in 2025?Yes | buy | 3.5K | $0.012 | $42 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Elon Musk trillionaire in 2025?Yes | buy | 3.13K | $0.006 | $20 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 526.32 | $0.190 | $100 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 303.03 | $0.330 | $100 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Yes | buy | 33.56 | $0.149 | $5 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Yes | buy | 234.88 | $0.851 | $200 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 17.14K | $0.007 | $120 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?No | buy | 150.39 | $0.798 | $120 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 148.42 | $0.950 | $141 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 126.71 | $0.789 | $100 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 662.5 | $0.151 | $100 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 689.66 | $0.290 | $200 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 192.29 | $0.348 | $67 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.350 | $25 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 244.95 | $0.020 | $5 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 909.09 | $0.011 | $10 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Will Shayne say "Bet on your Beliefs" during 60 Minutes?Yes | buy | 179.75 | $0.373 | $67 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk change his X profile picture by December 31?Yes | buy | 126.42 | $0.530 | $67 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| Elon Musk trillionaire in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.85K | $0.015 | $27 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Will Bryan Johnson say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" while tripping balls?Yes | buy | 34.88 | $0.287 | $10 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| Will Bryan Johnson say "Polymarket" while tripping balls?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.667 | $10 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| Will Bryan Johnson say "Polymarket" while tripping balls?Yes | buy | 20.41 | $0.490 | $10 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| Will Shayne say "Bet on your Beliefs" during 60 Minutes?Yes | buy | 283.94 | $0.370 | $105 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| Will Shayne say "Cuck" during 60 Minutes?Yes | buy | 72.32 | $0.069 | $5 | Nov 30, 2025 |