Analytics
Resolved No on 10 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 7% on 4 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 4 Jan 2026 to 10 Jan 2026, the highest close was 7% on 4 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 10 Jan 2026. $581.86K traded over the market's life.
185 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 17, 11:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 4 Jan 2026 – 10 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Jan 2026 | 7.0% |
| 10 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cilia-flores-released-from-custody-by
| allegiant | Yes | 10K |
| debvmb | Yes | 9.32K |
| AFOVOS | Yes | 7.05K |
| mamalisam | Yes | 7.04K |
| zaimiri | Yes | 5.26K |
| Altar888 | Yes | 4.62K |
| Frilly-Casserole | Yes | 4.57K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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