Analytics
Resolved Yes on 1 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 52.5%. Yes opened at 74.5% on 11 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 21 daily closes on record from 11 Nov 2025 to 1 Dec 2025, the highest close was 74.5% on 11 Nov 2025 and the lowest 52.5% on 1 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 7 points down, to 55.5% on 24 Nov 2025. $50.93K traded over the market's life.
34 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 2, 4:33 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 21 points, 11 Nov 2025 – 1 Dec 2025, chart shows 40%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Nov 2025 | 74.5% |
| 1 Dec 2025 | 52.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 669 |
| TirexKo | No | 500 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | No | 233 |
| R3tardAlert | No | 161.29 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk (@elonmusk) changes his X profile picture by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be Elon Musk's X account: https://x.com/elonmusk For an example of what Elon Musk's X pfp was at the time of this market's inception, see this link: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elonmuskpfp11072025.png
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-elon-musk-change-his-x-profile-picture-by-december-31
| Bondy007 | No | 140 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | No | 124 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | No | 121 |
| Ksaich-Pack1 | No | 100 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | No | 100 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | No | 77 |
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