Analytics
Resolved Yes on 27 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 77.5%. Yes opened at 65% on 18 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 41 daily closes on record from 18 Dec 2025 to 27 Jan 2026, the highest close was 93.5% on 20 Jan 2026 and the lowest 51% on 30 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 17 points up, to 93.5% on 20 Jan 2026. $56.8K traded over the market's life.
117 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 29, 12:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 41 points, 18 Dec 2025 – 27 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Dec 2025 | 65.0% |
| 27 Jan 2026 | 77.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BreadGet | No | 1.55K |
| amused85 | No | 735.43 |
| LuizBonfa | No | 441.56 |
| MasonsConqueredRome | No | 299.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The Doomsday Clock is a symbolic clock face that represents the likelihood of a man-made global catastrophe, maintained since 1947 by the members of the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. The closer the clock is set to midnight, the closer the scientists believe the world is to global disaster. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Doomsday Clock is set closer to midnight (i.e. closer than 89 seconds to midnight, see https://thebulletin.org/doomsday-clock/#nav_menu) during the yearly meeting of the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists scheduled for January 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the Doomsday Clock setting is delayed this market's resolution may be delayed until the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists' 2026 release is published. If no release is published by June 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be information released by the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-the-doomsday-clock-move-closer-to-midnight
| Golden Pulse 0D7A | No | 293 |
| ttj01 | No | 250 |
| loooki9 | No | 246.97 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | No | 233 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 201 |
| ybfytn | No | 198.17 |
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