Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 21.43K | $0.110 | $4.02K | +$1.66K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 1.44K | $0.710 | $1.02K | 5d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 3.46K |
| $0.439 |
| $2.99K |
| +$1.47K |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | Yes | 3K | $0.577 | $2.88K | +$1.15K |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 3K | $0.578 | $2.71K | +$980 |
 Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | Yes | 2.65K | $0.879 | $2.57K | +$246.25 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 2.5K | $0.676 | $2.34K | +$647.5 |
 Will Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in 2026? | No | 1K | $0.120 | $955 | +$835 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | No | 999.99 | $0.700 | $953.99 | +$254 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 1K | $0.740 | $865 | +$125 |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 16.06K | $0.033 | $554.23 | +$18.02 |
 Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 499.99 | $0.981 | $496.24 | +$5.75 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 499.99 | $0.870 | $484.74 | +$49.75 |
 Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | Yes | 2.38K | $0.033 | $477.74 | +$398.53 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 500 | $0.890 | $472.5 | +$27.5 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Yes | 594.53 | $0.037 | $329.96 | +$307.94 |
 EU dissolves before 2027? | No | 304.77 | $0.956 | $302.64 | +$11.28 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 333.33 | $0.910 | $281.67 | -$21.67 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Yes | 594.53 | $0.037 | $270.51 | +$248.49 |
 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 10K | $0.022 | $265 | +$45 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 999.97 | $0.130 | $254.99 | +$125 |
 Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | No | 254.53 | $0.804 | $234.42 | +$29.65 |
 Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to less than 2 years in prison? | No | 251.98 | $0.711 | $233.2 | +$54.13 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 499.99 | $0.164 | $232.25 | +$150 |
 GTA 6 launch postponed again? | No | 246.87 | $0.745 | $230.82 | +$46.95 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | Yes | 200 | $0.700 | $194.9 | +$54.9 |
| buy |
| 693.18 |
| $0.560 |
| $388.18 |
| 5d ago |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?No | buy | 20.81K | $0.999 | $20.79K | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?Yes | buy | 41.49K | $0.999 | $41.45K | Apr 21, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 24.66K | $0.998 | $24.61K | Apr 8, 2026 |
 2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds under 55% by March 31?Yes | sell | 3.45K | $0.634 | $2.19K | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?No | buy | 1.93K | $0.602 | $1.17K | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 2.85K | $0.690 | $1.97K | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 2.5K | $0.890 | $2.23K | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by March 31?No | buy | 827.16 | $0.864 | $714.29 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will UK strike Iran by March 31?No | buy | 44 | $0.812 | $35.74 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will another country strike Iran by March 31?No | buy | 550.2 | $0.580 | $319.02 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?No | buy | 604.41 | $0.729 | $440.38 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?No | buy | 152.54 | $0.640 | $97.63 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike gulf oil facilities by March 31?No | buy | 4.17K | $0.464 | $1.93K | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will another country strike Iran by March 31?No | buy | 192.2 | $0.567 | $109.03 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 750 | $0.973 | $729.75 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 685.62 | $0.980 | $671.91 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | sell | 999.81 | $0.056 | $55.99 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?No | sell | 1.52K | $0.007 | $10.7 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?No | sell | 163.38 | $0.340 | $55.55 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31?Yes | buy | 12.04K | $0.050 | $599.16 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31?Yes | buy | 748.91 | $0.044 | $32.63 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31?Yes | buy | 4.09K | $0.049 | $199.05 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31?Yes | buy | 71.42 | $0.042 | $2.97 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 2026 U.S. House Election: Republican Odds under 15% by March 31?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.920 | $11.5 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| 2026 U.S. House Election: Republican Odds under 15% by March 31?Yes | buy | 753.85 | $0.936 | $705.9 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31?No | sell | 443 | $0.956 | $423.51 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31?No | sell | 900 | $0.961 | $864.9 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 50% by March 31?No | sell | 4.44K | $0.970 | $4.3K | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31?No | sell | 13.6K | $0.956 | $13K | Feb 20, 2026 |
| 2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds over 80% by March 31?No | sell | 157.72 | $0.962 | $151.77 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| 2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds under 40% by March 31?No | sell | 260 | $0.959 | $249.26 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| 2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds under 50% by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.89K | $0.114 | $216.14 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| 2026 U.S. Senate Election: Democrats flip Republicans by March 31?No | sell | 2.26K | $0.854 | $1.93K | Feb 20, 2026 |
| 2026 U.S. Senate Election: Democrats flip Republicans by March 31?No | sell | 4.59K | $0.924 | $4.24K | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?No | buy | 31.76 | $0.931 | $29.57 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?No | buy | 41.43 | $0.410 | $16.99 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?No | buy | 600 | $0.720 | $432 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?No | buy | 58 | $0.010 | $0.58 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| 2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds under 50% by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.73K | $0.056 | $96.94 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 93.61 | $0.997 | $93.33 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.996 | $2.49K | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?No | buy | 5K | $0.970 | $4.85K | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?No | buy | 2.08K | $0.920 | $1.91K | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?No | buy | 650 | $0.910 | $591.5 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 U.S. strike on Nigeria by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.42K | $0.966 | $1.37K | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Odds of Khamenei out by February over 30% in January?No | buy | 281.26 | $0.860 | $241.88 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?No | buy | 3.06K | $0.999 | $3.06K | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?Yes | sell | 944.82 | $0.050 | $47.24 | Jan 24, 2026 |