Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 29.5% on 16 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 16 daily closes on record from 16 Sep 2025 to 1 Oct 2025, the highest close was 57% on 25 Sep 2025 and the lowest 0.5% on 1 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 37 points down, to 20% on 26 Sep 2025. $1.53M traded over the market's life.
139 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 12, 4:01 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 16 points, 16 Sep 2025 – 1 Oct 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Sep 2025 | 29.5% |
| 1 Oct 2025 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Skip-instructs-send-all-funds-to-this-acc | Yes | 174.46K |
| Ajmaaa | Yes | 4K |
| SpoonsCapital | Yes | 2.3K |
| basedfog | Yes | 1.84K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if ByteDance announces their intention to sell TikTok by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A public announcement of the intention to sell TikTok will qualify even if a sale has not been finalized. This includes any formal declaration made by ByteDance or its authorized representatives regarding their plans to sell or transfer ownership of TikTok. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from ByteDance. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/tiktok-sale-announced-in-2025
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