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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 650 | $0.747 | $624.98 | +$139.69 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.062 | $18.6 | Jul 14, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 1K |
| $0.560 |
| $525 |
| -$35 |
 Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 9.23K | $0.023 | $276.82 | +$61.78 |
 Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 10 | $0.550 | $6.05 | +$0.55 |
| buy |
| 300 |
| $0.199 |
| $59.7 |
| Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.560 | $560 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 4K | $0.024 | $96 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | sell | 650 | $0.923 | $600.03 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 4.7K | $0.023 | $106.93 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will AppLovin acquire TikTok?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.060 | $20 | Sep 17, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.200 | $100 | Sep 17, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 242 | $0.827 | $200.13 | Aug 13, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.150 | $150 | Aug 13, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.120 | $120 | Aug 13, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.150 | $75 | Aug 12, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.150 | $75 | Aug 12, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 10K | $0.005 | $50 | Aug 12, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.25K | $0.150 | $187.5 | Aug 12, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.154 | $307.1 | Aug 12, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.170 | $42.5 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?No | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Aug 6, 2025 |
 Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?No | buy | 100 | $0.090 | $9 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.817 | $163.39 | Aug 5, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.190 | $95 | Aug 5, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.190 | $95 | Aug 5, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.190 | $95 | Aug 5, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.180 | $90 | Aug 4, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.180 | $180 | Aug 4, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 500 | $0.750 | $375 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.230 | $115 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.230 | $69 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.220 | $44 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.230 | $115 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.230 | $115 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 471 | $0.230 | $108.33 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 400 | $0.750 | $300 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.819 | $122.85 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 7 | $0.740 | $5.18 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 350 | $0.740 | $259 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 450 | $0.610 | $274.5 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.610 | $30.5 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.170 | $8.5 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.450 | $90 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 197 | $0.762 | $150.16 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 6K | $0.007 | $42 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.390 | $195 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.007 | $35 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 700 | $0.390 | $273 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 4K | $0.007 | $28 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?Yes | buy | 219.81 | $0.491 | $107.93 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $350b and $360b on July 31?Yes | sell | 67.94 | $0.265 | $18 | Jul 25, 2025 |
 Will Ghislaine Maxwell testify before Congress in 2025?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.437 | $218.4 | Jul 24, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk's net worth be less than $350b on July 31?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.060 | $12 | Jul 23, 2025 |