9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Name: 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? — implied probability history
License: https://vultax.com/legal/terms

weatherActive

Closes Feb 1, 2027 UTC

Yes

3.9%

96.2%

Yes costs 3.85¢No costs 96.15¢

24h Volume

$463

Total volume

$332.5K

Liquidity

$11.7K

Closes

Feb 1, 2027 UTC

Open positions

The positions Polymarket reports for this market, largest first.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
Royal Oracle 34B5	Yes	13.64K	22.0%	$2.98K	Aug 2, 10:33 AM UTC
DEGENKHAN	No	7.47K	89.4%	$6.68K	Oct 16, 6:12 PM UTC
589985	Yes	5K	16.7%	$835	Jul 1, 3:26 PM UTC
PontiusPilate	No	5K	71.3%	$3.57K
DegenerateJanet	No	4.27K	88.6%	$3.78K	Sep 18, 10:31 PM UTC
UnderwriterGCR	No	3.76K	91.6%	$3.44K	Jul 27, 8:15 PM UTC
gopfan2	No	3.63K	84.9%	$3.08K
xtyche	Yes	3.26K	9.5%	$309.38	Aug 25, 10:56 AM UTC
thebetter1234	No	2.77K	95.5%	$2.65K	Sep 14, 8:23 AM UTC
TiahuraKing	Yes	2.5K	12.6%	$314
JLLEE91	Yes	2.44K	10.4%	$255
PPZ	Yes	2.34K	11.1%	$261.15
Oval-Swivel	Yes	2.28K	8.5%	$193.92	Jul 16, 7:43 PM UTC
StraddleSeller	No	2.18K	75.0%	$1.63K
Relieved-Signet	Yes	2.1K	11.0%	$231
PassiveStrike	No	2.08K	91.4%	$1.9K	Jun 7, 11:45 PM UTC
iiiiizzzzz	Yes	2.01K	7.5%	$151.8	Aug 27, 1:42 PM UTC
Crock95	No	2K	87.0%	$1.74K
machiavelia	No	1.93K	31.1%	$599.61
Elias.Thornwell	No	1.77K	94.5%	$1.67K	Sep 18, 8:40 PM UTC
OkaneKasegu	Yes	1.72K	12.0%	$206.76
justme003	No	1.66K	92.1%	$1.53K	Jul 15, 11:33 AM UTC
CastleRock	No	1.63K	97.0%	$1.58K	Oct 9, 6:13 PM UTC
Giga	Yes	1.5K	3.0%	$45
NotOver	No	1.41K	92.3%	$1.3K	Sep 4, 10:39 PM UTC
Flamboyant-Warming	No	1.41K	86.2%	$1.21K	Sep 30, 6:49 PM UTC
Mustafalafel	No	1K	85.7%	$857.5
spectral-mango-protocol	No	999.98	88.0%	$879.98
tinman2	Yes	974.99	73.3%	$714.46	Jun 7, 11:46 PM UTC
allenzzz	No	954.81	92.5%	$883.33
Favorable-Raft	Yes	873.94	17.2%	$150	Jun 8, 1:08 AM UTC
Tha.Bang	Yes	862.66	9.0%	$78.02	Jul 16, 11:16 PM UTC
ebisu	No	849.96	90.0%	$764.96	May 9, 12:19 AM UTC
Humble-Thaw	Yes	847.32	7.7%	$65	May 13, 6:59 PM UTC
xtyche1	Yes	769.23	13.0%	$100
stu	No	765.39	93.1%	$712.28	Jul 25, 11:55 PM UTC
suntori	Yes	756.11	12.0%	$90.52	Aug 26, 11:16 AM UTC
SmartInsiderTrades	Yes	720	12.0%	$86.4
101456	No	678.73	44.2%	$300
Strict-Retreat	Yes	569.29	8.8%	$50
Mattia.Ilenotti	No	522.01	88.3%	$461
LBZone	No	505.63	90.6%	$458.08
mountaindewd	No	500	89.0%	$445
Milky-Tattler	Yes	497.56	10.7%	$53.08
alpha-vore	Yes	453.09	11.0%	$49.84
Mealy-Hanger	No	448.03	92.0%	$412	Sep 4, 3:43 PM UTC
kostikas	Yes	433.07	9.2%	$40	Jun 28, 3:25 AM UTC
dsoperative	No	421	89.0%	$374.69	Jun 30, 2:16 PM UTC
h4xor	No	412.25	89.8%	$370.41	Sep 21, 10:43 PM UTC
Legal-Patriot	Yes	400	2.9%	$11.44
PMer	No	400	87.0%	$348
predwin01	Yes	370.08	6.9%	$25.53	Jun 22, 10:26 PM UTC
ClownPagliacci	No	300	87.8%	$263.38
planktonXD	Yes	281.97	4.7%	$13.17	Jun 13, 11:07 AM UTC
Jacobo222	Yes	257.82	7.8%	$20	Aug 30, 10:55 PM UTC
cryiser	Yes	250	10.0%	$25
Niromero	Yes	247.07	9.7%	$24	Jul 18, 2:43 PM UTC
AJSV	Yes	238.02	3.8%	$9.01	Oct 5, 8:20 AM UTC
Minecraft	No	222	87.0%	$193.14
ValueBet	Yes	218.4	7.9%	$17.25	May 30, 3:27 PM UTC
accelarated	Yes	210	9.0%	$18.9
Bright Vector 2089	Yes	208.33	12.0%	$25
neutralwave23	Yes	206.17	7.9%	$16.27	May 24, 2:32 AM UTC
defi-vitya	Yes	205	8.0%	$16.4
HardOrHome	Yes	200	10.0%	$20
Hahafunny	Yes	200	10.0%	$20
Negligible-Hexagon	Yes	200	10.0%	$20
StudyPrediction	No	200	87.0%	$174
LBZero	No	190.91	89.7%	$171.25
jeopardyjugs	Yes	171.5	7.0%	$12.01
Maximus374	Yes	170.74	10.0%	$17.07
JPYACKK	Yes	166.67	12.0%	$20
Neon Harbor 5478	Yes	166.67	12.0%	$20
Vast-Myth	No	159.22	94.2%	$150	Jul 1, 8:53 PM UTC
Flashy-Workout	Yes	156.49	6.4%	$10	Jun 15, 12:11 PM UTC
il1	No	151.34	91.1%	$137.87	Jul 22, 5:14 AM UTC
FatPika	Yes	151.14	6.6%	$10	Aug 14, 9:22 AM UTC
tourists	Yes	146	34.0%	$49.64
Droopy-Indicator	Yes	144.69	6.9%	$10	Sep 3, 6:44 AM UTC
Profuse-Harmonica	Yes	136.36	11.0%	$15
Safe-Humour	Yes	129	3.9%	$5	Oct 14, 2:03 PM UTC
165198989	Yes	124.45	6.4%	$8.02	Jun 23, 10:51 PM UTC
yuanzhang	Yes	122.17	10.8%	$13.27
prettycommon	No	111.11	90.0%	$100
user458901	No	111.11	90.0%	$100
jordysurfer	Yes	109	10.0%	$10.9
codefly	Yes	108.69	7.4%	$8.09
JMalloc	No	106.64	93.8%	$100	Aug 3, 11:07 PM UTC
barlsheadback	Yes	105.42	6.0%	$6.31	Jun 17, 10:21 PM UTC
Henryfifthofhisname	Yes	103	6.1%	$6.32	Oct 16, 3:39 AM UTC
Pre-rich-dude	Yes	100	6.0%	$6
tomlhm	Yes	100	7.4%	$7.4
Bska36	Yes	100	10.0%	$10
xiaodouzi	Yes	100	1.0%	$1
Offensive-Code	Yes	100	12.0%	$12
orin40	Yes	100	10.0%	$10
Miro14miro	No	100	92.4%	$92.4
DusanKent	No	100	92.7%	$92.7
MichaelaMraz	No	100	93.3%	$93.3
canbane	No	100	92.0%	$92
1ppq	No	100	89.0%	$89
Fniii	No	96.65	93.7%	$90.59	Sep 7, 6:59 PM UTC
Carao3	No	93.39	31.1%	$29.04	Jun 7, 11:46 PM UTC
dpndv2	No	93.35	92.7%	$86.5
Maco162	Yes	90.91	11.0%	$10
laura-ra	Yes	88.89	9.0%	$8
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.	Yes	85.48	5.6%	$4.79	Aug 23, 3:55 PM UTC
Big-Hearted-Shaker	No	82.44	92.1%	$75.92	Jul 23, 8:49 PM UTC
Considerate-Criteria	Yes	80.08	13.0%	$10.41
Ashamed-Sentiment	No	80	89.5%	$71.6
Jim-Cramer	Yes	80	9.0%	$7.2
updatethisnow	Yes	79.93	10.4%	$8.33
zvonokchess	No	79.17	86.4%	$68.39
0732dhwa	No	78	90.0%	$70.2
WanderingImpulse	Yes	76.92	13.0%	$10
Aikos	Yes	76.92	13.0%	$10
Leonslv	Yes	75	10.7%	$8
GigaWiz	Yes	75	12.0%	$9
ALastS	No	75	88.0%	$66
Cynic	Yes	72.16	9.0%	$6.49
NarrowExperience	Yes	62.39	6.9%	$4.28	May 14, 9:24 PM UTC
Shijiebeiii	Yes	61.35	6.5%	$4	Aug 16, 4:58 AM UTC
jach31	No	60	90.3%	$54.2
cryptzilla	No	55.24	95.4%	$52.7
Gastapan	No	54.95	91.0%	$50
Bright Pulse 1547	No	54.35	92.0%	$50
pablohim	No	54.05	96.5%	$52.16
Zamknij	Yes	54	10.0%	$5.4
anastasya757	No	52.47	96.7%	$50.74
Entire-People	Yes	52.45	7.1%	$3.72
alertpilot123	Yes	51.65	7.9%	$4.08	May 27, 6:38 PM UTC
Petavejlupek	No	50	93.7%	$46.85
International-Briefing	Yes	48.91	10.2%	$5
Defenseless-Placement	No	48.78	94.3%	$46	Jun 16, 8:02 AM UTC
kaixi9899	No	47.85	94.3%	$45.12	Jul 7, 4:16 AM UTC
Stingy-Comfort	Yes	45.45	11.0%	$5
Ivory Oracle 4977	Yes	45.1	7.1%	$3.16	Oct 16, 4:03 AM UTC
Siumicxdd123	Yes	44.44	9.0%	$4
Cohven	No	44	96.6%	$42.5
robotax	Yes	41.67	12.0%	$5
heyyy24	No	40	86.0%	$34.4
weird-fishes	No	39.99	92.7%	$37.07
Defensive-Thrill	Yes	38.46	13.0%	$5
233333	No	33.47	92.6%	$30.99	Jul 14, 2:21 PM UTC
DREAMBIG.	No	32.34	70.1%	$22.67
kstc17a	No	32.01	92.6%	$29.64
kstc19	No	31.89	94.0%	$29.98
crossFiter	Yes	31.77	2.8%	$0.89
testingsettinguparbs	Yes	31.56	5.8%	$1.82	Jun 17, 5:29 PM UTC
makanmakan	Yes	30.95	3.5%	$1.08	Sep 29, 8:17 AM UTC
slovenianman	Yes	30	10.0%	$3
dbd-13	Yes	30	10.0%	$3
PPMT	Yes	29.94	4.6%	$1.39	Jul 13, 8:40 AM UTC
Cryptostradamus	Yes	29.05	10.3%	$3	May 26, 10:32 AM UTC
eixisuy	No	28	88.0%	$24.64
Crimson Scout DF5C	No	27.69	87.0%	$24.09
Vague-Mansion	Yes	27.27	11.0%	$3
FBIFlowerVan	Yes	27.27	11.0%	$3
astrobeliever	Yes	23.32	8.6%	$2	Jul 21, 8:33 AM UTC
jayrickaby	Yes	22.22	9.0%	$2
RONALDOASET	Yes	21.42	9.3%	$2	Jul 24, 4:32 PM UTC
SergeyVogo	No	21.37	93.6%	$20	Sep 1, 5:26 AM UTC
ng6000	Yes	21.25	9.0%	$1.91
BSS37	Yes	20.38	9.0%	$1.83
Vacant-Policy	Yes	20	10.0%	$2
KellyCarzy	Yes	20	10.0%	$2
Buoyant-Loaf	Yes	20	7.2%	$1.44
konstantinosF	Yes	20	10.0%	$2
LBJJ	Yes	20	10.0%	$2
Tender-Whey	No	20	86.0%	$17.2
bubububblebutt	No	20	89.0%	$17.8
Omakase	No	20	90.0%	$18
Isko	Yes	19.09	10.5%	$2
homar	Yes	18.18	11.0%	$2
DukeKV	Yes	18.18	11.0%	$2
gleo	No	16.3	92.0%	$15
wintersc88	Yes	15.63	6.4%	$1	Jun 20, 4:24 PM UTC
gh0st3rs	Yes	15.38	13.0%	$2
Tight-Shark	No	15.27	89.0%	$13.59
Festka	Yes	15	9.7%	$1.45
Aching-Piracy	No	14.86	94.2%	$14	May 25, 12:31 AM UTC
goldgood	Yes	14.49	6.9%	$1	Jul 2, 8:20 PM UTC
Crimson Raven D9FF	Yes	14.49	6.9%	$1	Jun 25, 10:12 AM UTC
Hechuan	No	14.21	93.9%	$13.35	Jul 9, 4:50 AM UTC
MasterYI	No	12.9	93.0%	$12
LornaPredicts	No	12.63	12.1%	$1.53
MoneyButton	No	12.61	97.0%	$12.23	Oct 5, 4:45 PM UTC
delmedicopoetayloco	No	12.45	96.4%	$12	Oct 1, 11:15 AM UTC
friendly-farmer	Yes	11.11	9.0%	$1
Neglected-Greenhouse	Yes	11.11	9.0%	$1
cosmonaut33	Yes	11.11	9.0%	$1
Responsible-Rainy	Yes	11.11	9.0%	$1
UssTrippingHigh	No	10.09	91.0%	$9.18
BroukPytlik	No	10	93.1%	$9.31
Warm-Downturn	Yes	10	10.0%	$1
poundcake99	Yes	10	10.0%	$1
Crimson Falcon 1F3A	Yes	10	10.0%	$1
Vengeful-Happening	Yes	10	10.0%	$1
Impartial-Anise	Yes	10	10.0%	$1
quiddy	Yes	10	11.0%	$1.1
Solar Pulse CD66	Yes	10	10.0%	$1
Hillviolence	Yes	10	10.0%	$1
Ivory Beacon 3388	Yes	10	10.0%	$1
anyzen408	Yes	10	10.0%	$1
Cattrade	Yes	10	10.0%	$1
Bright Pulse B5FA	Yes	10	10.0%	$1
Golden Scout A224	Yes	10	10.0%	$1
Keen Pulse 2428	Yes	10	10.0%	$1
Ivory Lynx E3F2	Yes	10	10.0%	$1
1uKing	Yes	10	10.0%	$1
Indigo Tide ED69	Yes	10	10.0%	$1
BariTheKing	No	10	90.0%	$9
Kuver26	No	10	93.6%	$9.36	Jun 8, 6:43 AM UTC
Slaktis	No	10	97.0%	$9.7	Oct 5, 9:23 AM UTC
Tired-Acoustics	No	10	92.8%	$9.28
MMbear	No	10	89.0%	$8.9
Navy	Yes	9.09	11.0%	$1
davy0072	Yes	9.09	11.0%	$1
Distorted-Ease	Yes	9.09	11.0%	$1
Deranged-Cactus	Yes	9.09	11.0%	$1
Tarkov	Yes	9.09	11.0%	$1
BigMike111	Yes	9.09	11.0%	$1
PostM	Yes	9.09	11.0%	$1
parklsonstt	No	8.5	91.0%	$7.74
Thorough-Mecca	No	8.5	91.0%	$7.74
edenmoonff	No	8.5	91.0%	$7.74
pinasblanket	No	8.5	91.0%	$7.74
Barcafansaodk	No	8.5	91.0%	$7.74
zerosmarket	No	8.5	91.0%	$7.74
Llalalatata	No	8.5	91.0%	$7.74
ckwes	No	8.5	91.0%	$7.74
RoyKeaneMindset	Yes	8.33	12.0%	$1
Poor-Change	Yes	8.33	12.0%	$1
PhantasmalRift	No	8.08	95.4%	$7.71	Sep 9, 5:01 AM UTC
Toby707295	No	7.71	95.5%	$7.36	Sep 9, 6:32 AM UTC
Delamain	Yes	7.69	13.0%	$1
Alfonso910616	Yes	7.69	13.0%	$1
Neon Tide 0E08	Yes	7.65	7.2%	$0.55	Aug 4, 8:11 AM UTC
MRodolfoM	Yes	7.14	14.0%	$1
Zen0	Yes	7.14	14.0%	$1
TheDchicken	No	6.82	88.0%	$6
ponchi123trade	Yes	6.67	15.0%	$1
Bright Pioneer 5E74	No	6.59	91.0%	$6
Homolulu8	No	6.59	91.0%	$6
dekiru	Yes	6.3	11.0%	$0.69
PhantomBlade8X	No	6.3	95.3%	$6	Sep 10, 9:58 AM UTC
sdsfsdf	No	6	92.0%	$5.52
3d6e	No	5.56	90.0%	$5
newnewbie	Yes	5.55	36.0%	$2
Goober2	No	5.49	91.0%	$5
Possible-Alternative-Aluminum	No	5	92.8%	$4.64
Nonstop-Tailspin	No	5	92.8%	$4.64
nukular	No	5	92.0%	$4.6
appley	No	4.62	91.0%	$4.2
Jade Atlas 0EAA	No	4.59	90.0%	$4.13
bsjdean	No	4.57	92.0%	$4.2
Cosmic Voyager 1B80	No	4.25	91.8%	$3.86	Jun 7, 11:49 PM UTC
zacharyjka	No	4.07	91.0%	$3.7
Ahri	No	3.33	90.0%	$3
rushi	No	3.08	91.0%	$2.8
binaryOption	No	3	90.0%	$2.7
jasmine67	No	2.61	89.0%	$2.32
lisakane	No	2.55	89.0%	$2.27
victoriayoung	No	2.54	89.0%	$2.26
delgadokeith	No	2.53	89.0%	$2.25
simsanne	No	2.52	89.0%	$2.24
santosconnie	No	2.51	89.0%	$2.23
woodkristen	No	2.49	89.0%	$2.22
lynn95	No	2.48	89.0%	$2.21
adkinsian	No	2.45	89.0%	$2.18
brandonlowery	No	2.44	89.0%	$2.17
jeff20	No	2.44	89.0%	$2.17
debbiehammond	No	2.43	89.0%	$2.16
ryanleah	No	2.42	89.0%	$2.15
marissa01	No	2.37	89.0%	$2.11
caseytimothy	No	2.36	89.0%	$2.1
PBM23	No	2.22	90.0%	$2
f1cc	No	2.22	90.0%	$2
QuaWaterluy	No	2.2	91.0%	$2
budulinek	No	2.14	93.3%	$2	Jun 1, 11:10 AM UTC
JasonMooooo	Yes	1.98	10.0%	$0.2
Ibis1453	No	1.96	95.2%	$1.87	Sep 12, 1:52 PM UTC
Nastasion	No	1.95	87.0%	$1.7
Kakashka	No	1.84	91.0%	$1.67
Georg66435	No	1.82	91.0%	$1.66
Fegoro	No	1.6	90.0%	$1.44
gtran	No	1.33	89.0%	$1.18
matthewduarte	No	1.31	89.0%	$1.17
martinmichelle	No	1.26	89.0%	$1.12
Idapro555	No	1.25	87.1%	$1.09	May 13, 5:26 PM UTC
woodscarrie	No	1.25	89.0%	$1.11
kevinharper	No	1.24	89.0%	$1.1
jacquelinecarroll	No	1.22	89.0%	$1.09
morenotroy	No	1.17	89.0%	$1.04
Unique-Sea	No	1.15	87.0%	$1
xluna	No	1.15	89.0%	$1.02
webersabrina	No	1.15	89.0%	$1.02
Bright Sphinx 756E	No	1.14	88.0%	$1
perps-01sqko85	No	1.14	88.0%	$1
E.T	No	1.12	89.0%	$1
Rapid Voyager F13B	No	1.11	90.0%	$1	May 8, 9:14 PM UTC
Menshy	No	1.11	90.0%	$1
AUREAswap	No	1.11	90.0%	$1
tua36	No	1.11	90.0%	$1
15rob	No	1.1	81.2%	$0.89	Aug 6, 10:05 AM UTC
shiha	No	1.1	91.0%	$1
Xus75	No	1.1	91.0%	$1
Coarse-Other	No	1.1	91.0%	$1
Authentic-Digestive	No	1.1	91.0%	$1
fanthomik	No	1.1	91.0%	$1
thinkinyun	No	1.1	91.0%	$1
gudzilla	No	1.09	92.0%	$1
Impure-Contour	Yes	1	11.0%	$0.11
rocky42004	Yes	1	8.4%	$0.08
predictfish537	No	0.8	87.0%	$0.7
Lavincey	Yes	0.7	6.1%	$0.04
Coral Oracle 4399	Yes	0.59	10.3%	$0.06
50sad	Yes	0.45	5.9%	$0.03	Aug 7, 2:18 PM UTC
26lkkdasdsa	Yes	0.43	5.8%	$0.03	Aug 7, 2:18 PM UTC
rocky42004	No	0.38	64.6%	$0.25
86fgh	Yes	0.2	4.8%	$0.01
MoneyShkreli	Yes	0.2	6.0%	$0.01

322 of 322 positions.

Holders by valueThe same holders, ranked by what their position is worth now.

Trader	Holding value
DEGENKHAN	$7.19K
PontiusPilate	$4.81K
DegenerateJanet	$4.1K

Analytics