Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? | No | 749.94 | $0.911 | $721.82 | +$38.2 |
 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 5kt meteor strike in 2026?Yes | sell | 268 | $0.224 | $59.91 | 6d ago |
|
| No |
| 448.03 |
| $0.919 |
| $425.85 |
| +$13.85 |
| 100kt meteor strike in 2026? | No | 309.14 | $0.930 | $297.86 | +$10.18 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 300 | $0.942 | $286.65 | +$4.02 |
| 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? | No | 279.91 | $0.940 | $275.85 | +$12.74 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 200 | $0.913 | $196.5 | +$13.9 |
 Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? | No | 199.99 | $0.922 | $195.49 | +$11.02 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 200 | $0.840 | $189 | +$21 |
 Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? | No | 162.75 | $0.872 | $152.09 | +$10.11 |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027? | No | 111.99 | $0.808 | $101.35 | +$10.85 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 99.99 | $0.945 | $94.14 | -$0.35 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.790 | $85.15 | +$6.15 |
| 5kt meteor strike in 2026? | Yes | 199.99 | $0.309 | $51 | -$10.77 |
 Anduril IPO before 2027? | No | 13.62 | $0.910 | $12.8 | +$0.41 |
 Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | Yes | 56.42 | $0.120 | $4.23 | -$2.54 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | Yes | 150 | $0.060 | $2.25 | -$6.75 |
| buy |
| 148.03 |
| $0.939 |
| $139 |
| 6d ago |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027?No | buy | 61.99 | $0.807 | $50 | 21d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.310 | $62 | 21d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.060 | $9 | 21d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.470 | $94 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.986 | $98.6 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Yes | buy | 56.42 | $0.120 | $6.77 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 200 | $0.913 | $182.6 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 82 | $0.945 | $77.49 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 218 | $0.941 | $205.14 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.047 | $1.03 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.210 | $2.1 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.590 | $236 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027?No | buy | 50 | $0.810 | $40.5 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Anduril IPO before 2027?No | buy | 13.62 | $0.910 | $12.39 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?No | buy | 279.91 | $0.940 | $263.12 | May 28, 2026 |
| 100kt meteor strike in 2026?No | buy | 55 | $0.915 | $50.33 | May 28, 2026 |
| 100kt meteor strike in 2026?No | buy | 36.6 | $0.914 | $33.45 | May 28, 2026 |
| 5kt meteor strike in 2026?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.280 | $5.04 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.860 | $14.34 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?No | buy | 10 | $0.850 | $8.5 | May 2, 2026 |
| Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?No | buy | 10 | $0.924 | $9.24 | May 1, 2026 |
| Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?No | buy | 34.13 | $0.918 | $31.33 | May 1, 2026 |
| Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?No | buy | 299.82 | $0.916 | $274.64 | May 1, 2026 |
 Will "Doors - Noah Kahan" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?No | buy | 45.01 | $0.982 | $44.21 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 200 | $0.840 | $168 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Will Ivory Coast reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?No | buy | 25 | $0.990 | $24.75 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will Ivory Coast reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?No | buy | 7.46 | $0.989 | $7.38 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will Ivory Coast reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?No | buy | 7.98 | $0.989 | $7.89 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will Curacao reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?No | buy | 5 | $0.990 | $4.95 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will Panama reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?No | buy | 5 | $0.990 | $4.95 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will Uzbekistan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?No | buy | 5 | $0.990 | $4.95 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?No | buy | 60 | $0.917 | $55.02 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?No | buy | 24.99 | $0.916 | $22.89 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?Yes | sell | 101.24 | $0.004 | $0.4 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.038 | $3.79 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 53.78 | $0.205 | $11.01 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 101.24 | $0.060 | $6.07 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Polymarket surpasses Robinhood on Similar Web in 2026?Yes | buy | 122.34 | $0.830 | $101.54 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?No | buy | 80 | $0.926 | $74.08 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?No | buy | 100 | $0.890 | $89 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| 100kt meteor strike in 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.950 | $19 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| 100kt meteor strike in 2026?No | buy | 137.06 | $0.940 | $128.84 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| 100kt meteor strike in 2026?No | buy | 41.88 | $0.930 | $38.95 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| 100kt meteor strike in 2026?No | buy | 18.6 | $0.920 | $17.11 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in December?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.999 | $5.99 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No | buy | 300 | $0.944 | $283.2 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| 5kt meteor strike in 2025?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.020 | $5 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| 5kt meteor strike in 2025?Yes | buy | 849.83 | $0.015 | $12.75 | Dec 22, 2025 |