Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 2.04K | $0.172 | $140.79 | -$209.2 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Yes | buy | 419.39 | $0.238 | $100 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 892.74 |
| $0.560 |
| $66.96 |
| -$433.04 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 1.73K | $0.117 | $66.45 | -$135.55 |
| 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | Yes | 873.94 | $0.172 | $46.76 | -$103.24 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | Yes | 151.52 | $0.330 | $11.36 | -$38.64 |
 Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? | Yes | 729.5 | $0.080 | $9.85 | -$48.51 |
| buy |
| 486.01 |
| $0.206 |
| $100 |
| Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Yes | buy | 604.51 | $0.165 | $100 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Yes | buy | 640.23 | $0.156 | $100 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 769.86 | $0.130 | $100 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.18K | $0.170 | $200 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 864.03 | $0.174 | $150 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 1.29K | $0.116 | $150 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.020 | $100 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | buy | 3.88K | $0.052 | $200 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 892.74 | $0.560 | $500 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Khamenei seen in public by March 14?Yes | buy | 677.56 | $0.089 | $60 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei seen in public by March 14?Yes | buy | 658.43 | $0.088 | $58 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 538.37 | $0.958 | $515.76 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 1.36K | $0.955 | $1.3K | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 191.3 | $0.230 | $44 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 187.11 | $0.534 | $100 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?Yes | buy | 769.23 | $0.130 | $100 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 214.29 | $0.140 | $30 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 240.63 | $0.062 | $15 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.030 | $15 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 151.52 | $0.330 | $50 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?Yes | buy | 729.5 | $0.080 | $58.36 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 131.83 | $0.228 | $30 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Khamenei public appearance by Friday?Yes | buy | 168.33 | $0.178 | $30 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 207.69 | $0.130 | $27 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 191.89 | $0.450 | $86.35 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 588.24 | $0.170 | $100 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 665.79 | $0.434 | $289 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 311.11 | $0.321 | $100 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 108.11 | $0.370 | $40 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.050 | $10 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 227.27 | $0.220 | $50 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 191.89 | $0.370 | $71 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Yes | buy | 454.55 | $0.110 | $50 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Cilia Flores released from custody by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 105.26 | $0.190 | $20 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?Yes | sell | 177.7 | $0.114 | $20.21 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 227.27 | $0.110 | $25 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Epstein client list released by June 30?Yes | buy | 156.25 | $0.160 | $25 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will Xavi Hernandez be the next Chelsea manager?Yes | buy | 515.85 | $0.033 | $17 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 402.34 | $0.249 | $100 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.250 | $50 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 177.7 | $0.113 | $20 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 511 | $0.020 | $10 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?No | buy | 1.11K | $0.027 | $30 | Jan 3, 2026 |