Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | No | 40 | $0.860 | $38.02 | +$3.62 |
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 46 |
| $0.022 |
| $27.83 |
| +$26.82 |
 Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? | Yes | 187.63 | $0.045 | $4.6 | -$3.85 |
 Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 438.54 | $0.004 | $0.22 | -$1.35 |
 Will Revolut have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 338.03 | $0.003 | $0.17 | -$0.99 |
 Will Kraken have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 296.18 | $0.003 | $0.15 | -$0.84 |
 Will Perplexity AI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 250 | $0.004 | $0.13 | -$0.88 |
 Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 188.73 | $0.006 | $0.09 | -$1.04 |
 Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 46 | $0.022 | $0.07 | -$0.94 |
 Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 77 | $0.013 | $0.04 | -$0.96 |
 Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 76.66 | $0.014 | $0.04 | -$1.02 |
| buy |
| 1K |
| $0.002 |
| $2 |
| Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?No | sell | 399.94 | $0.030 | $12 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | sell | 565.91 | $0.010 | $5.66 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 450.1 | $0.002 | $0.9 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 360.46 | $0.012 | $4.17 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 362.8 | $0.070 | $25.4 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 102.91 | $0.560 | $57.63 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Claude 4.7 released by June 30?No | buy | 34.91 | $0.140 | $4.89 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 51 | $0.019 | $0.97 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 544.55 | $0.008 | $4.36 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 330 | $0.029 | $9.41 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.002 | $4 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?No | buy | 37.15 | $0.050 | $1.86 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 55.02 | $0.590 | $32.46 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.54K | $0.009 | $13.6 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | buy | 11.9 | $0.400 | $4.76 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.400 | $7.2 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | buy | 13.11 | $0.390 | $5.11 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.390 | $7.02 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No | buy | 19 | $0.630 | $11.97 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No | buy | 19 | $0.630 | $11.97 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | buy | 19 | $0.380 | $7.22 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.310 | $1.55 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.310 | $1.55 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.750 | $3.75 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes | sell | 1.43K | $0.006 | $8.6 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will DAX (DAX) hit 16650 (LOW) in March?No | buy | 78.54 | $0.996 | $78.22 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No | buy | 40 | $0.860 | $34.4 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will Seattle have more than 8 inches of precipitation in March?No | buy | 5 | $0.986 | $4.93 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No | buy | 332 | $0.640 | $212.48 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.390 | $42.9 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | buy | 222.47 | $0.390 | $86.76 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes | buy | 315.87 | $0.110 | $34.75 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes | buy | 94.44 | $0.110 | $10.39 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.290 | $145 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will Seattle have more than 8 inches of precipitation in March?No | buy | 209.99 | $0.985 | $206.84 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Seattle have more than 8 inches of precipitation in March?No | buy | 12.65 | $0.975 | $12.33 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will DAX (DAX) hit 18000 (LOW) in March?No | buy | 5 | $0.990 | $4.95 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will DAX (DAX) hit 17400 (LOW) in March?No | buy | 97.1 | $0.995 | $96.57 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will DAX (DAX) hit 16650 (LOW) in March?No | buy | 5 | $0.990 | $4.95 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "N Word" in March?No | buy | 45.85 | $0.986 | $45.21 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "N Word" in March?No | buy | 5.94 | $0.985 | $5.85 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "N Word" in March?No | buy | 7.48 | $0.985 | $7.37 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "N Word" in March?No | buy | 9.59 | $0.985 | $9.45 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "N Word" in March?No | buy | 10.16 | $0.985 | $10.01 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "N Word" in March?No | buy | 22.25 | $0.985 | $21.92 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "N Word" in March?No | buy | 264.74 | $0.984 | $260.61 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Capital of the World" in March?No | buy | 10 | $0.565 | $5.65 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?Yes | sell | 103.02 | $0.002 | $0.21 | Mar 27, 2026 |