Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | No | 199.36 | $0.894 | $187.4 | +$9.12 |
 Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 81 | $0.983 | $79.62 | 4d ago |
| No |
| 163.48 |
| $0.763 |
| $154.49 |
| +$29.66 |
 5kt meteor strike in 2026? | Yes | 565.19 | $0.353 | $144.12 | -$55.29 |
 Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? | Yes | 163.9 | $0.801 | $138.57 | +$7.3 |
 Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 107.03 | $0.952 | $103.98 | +$2.13 |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | Yes | 160.94 | $0.453 | $84.49 | +$11.64 |
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 151.04 | $0.480 | $73.26 | +$0.76 |
 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | No | 47.85 | $0.943 | $45.48 | +$0.36 |
 Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 47.3 | $0.603 | $40.32 | +$11.8 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 45.29 | $0.680 | $39.18 | +$8.38 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 25.64 | $0.780 | $23.97 | +$3.97 |
 Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026? | No | 24.59 | $0.820 | $19.55 | -$0.61 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 17.4 | $0.860 | $16.69 | +$1.73 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 16.35 | $0.920 | $15.12 | +$0.08 |
 Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | No | 18.64 | $0.390 | $14.82 | +$7.55 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | No | 71.09 | $0.430 | $6.75 | -$23.83 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 1.64 | $0.870 | $1.54 | +$0.11 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | No | 1.7 | $0.880 | $1.44 | -$0.06 |
 Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? | No | 1.49 | $0.770 | $1.44 | +$0.29 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | No | 1.59 | $0.920 | $1.4 | -$0.06 |
 GTA 6 launch postponed again? | No | 1.44 | $0.820 | $1.35 | +$0.17 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.43 | $0.830 | $1.34 | +$0.15 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 1.38 | $0.928 | $1.34 | +$0.06 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | No | 1.22 | $0.402 | $1.04 | +$0.55 |
 Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 0.75 | $0.947 | $0.75 | +$0.04 |
Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?No| sell |
| 298 |
| $0.999 |
| $297.7 |
| 5d ago |
| Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?No | buy | 71.97 | $0.710 | $51.1 | 5d ago |
 Will the US lose between 0 and 50k jobs in August?Yes | sell | 87 | $0.169 | $14.7 | 5d ago |
| Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in August?Yes | sell | 309 | $0.320 | $98.88 | 5d ago |
| Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?No | buy | 113.24 | $0.680 | $77 | 5d ago |
| Will the US lose between 0 and 50k jobs in August?Yes | sell | 91 | $0.180 | $16.38 | 6d ago |
| Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?No | buy | 113.94 | $0.672 | $76.59 | 7d ago |
| Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in August?Yes | buy | 310.15 | $0.260 | $80.64 | 7d ago |
| Will the US lose between 0 and 50k jobs in August?Yes | buy | 182.13 | $0.103 | $18.78 | 9d ago |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes | buy | 160.94 | $0.453 | $72.85 | 10d ago |
 UFC Fight Night: Nathaniel Wood vs. Mairon Santos (Featherweight, Prelims)Mairon Santos | buy | 50.92 | $0.510 | $25.97 | 13d ago |
 Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?No | sell | 30 | $0.999 | $29.97 | 15d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?No | buy | 30.62 | $0.943 | $28.86 | 15d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 92 | $0.999 | $91.91 | 16d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 92.17 | $0.830 | $76.5 | 19d ago |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No | buy | 191.92 | $0.989 | $189.81 | 19d ago |
 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.402 | $28.16 | 21d ago |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?Yes | sell | 136 | $0.309 | $42.02 | 21d ago |
 Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?No | buy | 70.78 | $0.988 | $69.93 | 23d ago |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 151.04 | $0.480 | $72.5 | 24d ago |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 58 | $0.808 | $46.85 | 26d ago |
 NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 71.45 | $0.965 | $68.95 | 27d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 84.84 | $0.900 | $76.36 | 27d ago |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 58 | $0.780 | $45.24 | 28d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Yes | sell | 44 | $0.987 | $43.43 | 28d ago |
| Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 81.74 | $0.919 | $75.12 | 28d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 40.82 | $0.947 | $38.64 | 29d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?No | sell | 69 | $0.651 | $44.95 | 29d ago |
 Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?No | sell | 71 | $0.985 | $69.94 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?No | sell | 98 | $0.580 | $56.84 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July?Yes | sell | 146 | $0.160 | $23.36 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China?Yes | sell | 122 | $0.995 | $121.39 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | buy | 71.45 | $0.964 | $68.88 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes | buy | 60.78 | $0.985 | $59.88 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?Yes | buy | 71.83 | $0.765 | $54.95 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?No | buy | 69.56 | $0.870 | $60.52 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?Yes | sell | 229 | $0.309 | $70.85 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China?Yes | buy | 51.05 | $0.956 | $48.8 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?Yes | buy | 180.66 | $0.239 | $43.25 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 85.98 | $0.850 | $73.08 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China?Yes | buy | 71.46 | $0.959 | $68.53 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Yes | buy | 44.99 | $0.890 | $40.04 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 40.4 | $0.989 | $39.96 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?No | sell | 19 | $0.655 | $12.45 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?Yes | buy | 94.7 | $0.095 | $8.96 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?Yes | buy | 30.62 | $0.969 | $29.67 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?Yes | buy | 92.07 | $0.829 | $76.32 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July?Yes | buy | 153.33 | $0.180 | $27.6 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?No | buy | 78.59 | $0.970 | $76.23 | Aug 3, 2026 |