Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 New pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 680 | $0.068 | $37.4 | -$8.95 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.060 | $1.2 | 2d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 215.99 |
| $0.152 |
| $31.32 |
| -$1.53 |
 Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 7.05K | $0.002 | $10.57 | -$4.88 |
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? | Yes | 345 | $0.035 | $8.11 | -$4.04 |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 130 | $0.060 | $7.15 | -$0.65 |
 NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? | Yes | 46.67 | $0.190 | $6.3 | -$2.55 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30? | No | 19.99 | $0.245 | $5.6 | +$0.7 |
 Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (LOW) 97.00 in September? | Yes | 33 | $0.092 | $4.67 | +$1.63 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 3K | $0.002 | $4.5 | -$1.56 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | No | 25 | $0.133 | $3.38 | +$0.05 |
 US recession by end of 2026? | Yes | 30 | $0.089 | $2.25 | -$0.41 |
 Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? | Yes | 44.99 | $0.058 | $2.25 | -$0.35 |
| Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (LOW) 96.50 in September? | Yes | 45.53 | $0.058 | $2.14 | -$0.5 |
| Trump out as President by September 30? | Yes | 200 | $0.012 | $2.1 | -$0.26 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.115 | $1.7 | -$0.59 |
 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | Yes | 29.05 | $0.103 | $1.44 | -$1.56 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 45 | $0.035 | $1.37 | -$0.2 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (LOW) in December? | Yes | 5 | $0.260 | $1.33 | +$0.03 |
| Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 2.6K | $0.002 | $1.3 | -$3.39 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September? | Yes | 20 | $0.122 | $1.17 | -$1.28 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? | Yes | 30 | $0.026 | $0.72 | -$0.06 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | Yes | 13.7 | $0.073 | $0.68 | -$0.32 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 20 | $0.122 | $0.61 | -$1.84 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 150 | $0.005 | $0.52 | -$0.23 |
| 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | Yes | 14.99 | $0.054 | $0.19 | -$0.62 |
| buy |
| 20 |
| $0.060 |
| $1.2 |
| 2d ago |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.060 | $2.4 | 2d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.260 | $1.3 | 3d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.260 | $1.3 | 4d ago |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.060 | $3 | 4d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.690 | $3.45 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.690 | $3.45 | 4d ago |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?Yes | sell | 35 | $0.045 | $1.58 | 6d ago |
| Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (LOW) 97.00 in September?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.123 | $1.23 | 6d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.123 | $1.23 | 6d ago |
| Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (LOW) 96.50 in September?Yes | buy | 17 | $0.062 | $1.05 | 6d ago |
| Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (LOW) 96.50 in September?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.055 | $1.1 | 6d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.2 | $0.140 | $1.01 | 9d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | buy | 7 | $0.150 | $1.05 | 9d ago |
| NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | 9d ago |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?Yes | sell | 29.99 | $0.037 | $1.11 | 11d ago |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.010 | $0.3 | 11d ago |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.026 | $1.04 | 12d ago |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.037 | $1.48 | 12d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?No | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | 12d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?No | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | 14d ago |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.028 | $1.12 | 15d ago |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?Yes | sell | 29.01 | $0.030 | $0.87 | 15d ago |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?Yes | sell | 20.99 | $0.033 | $0.7 | 15d ago |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.028 | $1.12 | 15d ago |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.036 | $1.08 | 15d ago |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?Yes | sell | 5.25 | $0.036 | $0.19 | 17d ago |
| New pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.080 | $3.2 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by July 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.003 | $0.3 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by July 31?Yes | sell | 700 | $0.003 | $2.1 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| New pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by July 31?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.003 | $0.6 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by July 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.004 | $0.4 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.340 | $2.38 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.270 | $5.4 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| New pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.070 | $2 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| New pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.110 | $2 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 42.86 | $0.034 | $1.46 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.045 | $1 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 24.39 | $0.041 | $1 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.060 | $3 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.045 | $3 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.004 | $2 | Jun 26, 2026 |