Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027? | Yes | 28.57 | $0.070 | $1.47 | -$0.53 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ukraine hits Moscow by January 31?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 5.41 |
| $0.370 |
| $0.78 |
| -$1.22 |
| Jerome Powell in jail before 2027? | Yes | 14.74 | $0.068 | $0.58 | -$0.42 |
 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | Yes | 11.11 | $0.090 | $0.55 | -$0.45 |
 Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? | Yes | 12.5 | $0.080 | $0.31 | -$0.69 |
 Human moon landing in 2026? | Yes | 18.87 | $0.053 | $0.15 | -$0.85 |
| buy |
| 14.74 |
| $0.068 |
| $1 |
| Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will Iranian officials visit the White House by January 31?Yes | buy | 17.6 | $0.057 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump try to Fire Powell by January 31?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.019 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Human moon landing in 2026?Yes | buy | 18.87 | $0.053 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.82 | $0.078 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 SpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Sam Altman in jail by June 30?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.068 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.070 | $2 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will Medline not IPO by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Bikinis back on X by January 16?Yes | buy | 103.67 | $0.019 | $2 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 11.2 | $0.089 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 AWS service disrupted by January 31?Yes | buy | 7.09 | $0.141 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.045 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Bikinis back on X by January 16?Yes | buy | 71.4 | $0.014 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?No | buy | 22.22 | $0.045 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | buy | 714.29 | $0.007 | $5 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 41.22 | $0.049 | $2 | Nov 16, 2025 |
 Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Nov 16, 2025 |
 Will no CEO be announced in 2025?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Nov 16, 2025 |
 Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.035 | $1 | Nov 16, 2025 |
 Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO in 2025?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Nov 16, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu by November 30?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Nov 16, 2025 |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | buy | 5.65 | $0.177 | $1 | Nov 16, 2025 |
 Will Mikie Sherrill win by >14%?No | buy | 28.57 | $0.035 | $1 | Nov 16, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on November 19?No | buy | 2.9 | $0.690 | $2 | Nov 16, 2025 |
 Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 10.34 | $0.290 | $3 | Nov 16, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during December press conference?Yes | buy | 3.29 | $0.304 | $1 | Nov 16, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during December press conference?No | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Nov 16, 2025 |
 US forces in Venezuela by December 31?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Nov 16, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?No | buy | 26 | $0.038 | $1 | Nov 16, 2025 |
 Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.072 | $1 | Nov 16, 2025 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 5.41 | $0.370 | $2 | Nov 16, 2025 |