Analytics
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Denmark Military clash before 2027? | Yes | 33 | $0.082 | $1.58 | -$1.13 |
 Will Ryan Gosling be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.031 | $0.61 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 22.5 |
| $0.116 |
| $1.24 |
| -$1.37 |
 Will the Democrats win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 40.5 | $0.060 | $0.89 | -$1.54 |
 Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat? | No | 5.55 | $0.160 | $0.8 | -$0.08 |
 Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.2 | $0.090 | $0.8 | +$0.69 |
 Will the Republican Party win the AR-01 House seat? | No | 25 | $0.080 | $0.61 | -$1.39 |
 Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 21.5 | $0.060 | $0.59 | -$0.7 |
 Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.110 | $0.55 | -$0.55 |
 Will USD/KRW hit 1650 (High) in 2026? | Yes | 6.25 | $0.320 | $0.47 | -$1.53 |
 Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 5.68 | $0.170 | $0.43 | -$0.54 |
 Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 9.42 | $0.214 | $0.37 | -$1.65 |
 Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 40 | $0.085 | $0.36 | -$3.02 |
 Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 4.8 | $0.090 | $0.36 | -$0.07 |
 Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027? | Yes | 5 | $0.130 | $0.32 | -$0.33 |
 Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027? | Yes | 2.56 | $0.190 | $0.32 | -$0.17 |
 Will Baidu have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 4.8 | $0.090 | $0.31 | -$0.12 |
 Will the Republican Party win the TN-06 House seat? | No | 5 | $0.080 | $0.28 | -$0.13 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 4 | $0.100 | $0.26 | -$0.14 |
 Will XRP reach $4.20 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.120 | $0.25 | -$0.95 |
 Will the Republican Party win the FL-16 House seat? | No | 1.5 | $0.200 | $0.24 | -$0.06 |
 Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026? | Yes | 3.2 | $0.053 | $0.23 | +$0.06 |
 Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026? | Yes | 4 | $0.100 | $0.22 | -$0.18 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-05 House seat? | Yes | 2.82 | $0.120 | $0.21 | -$0.13 |
 Will Frontier Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31? | Yes | 2.88 | $0.150 | $0.2 | -$0.23 |
 Will the Republican Party win the KY-04 House seat? | No | 3.05 | $0.090 | $0.2 | -$0.08 |
| sell |
| 1.92 |
| $0.500 |
| $0.96 |
| Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will American Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?Yes | sell | 27.5 | $0.030 | $0.83 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?No | sell | 0.85 | $0.991 | $0.84 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will the Republican Party win the WI-07 House seat?No | sell | 5 | $0.160 | $0.8 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.4m & 4.6m square kilometers?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.072 | $0.72 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-20 House seat?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.039 | $0.78 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.037 | $0.92 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Shelley Hughes advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?Yes | sell | 23 | $0.041 | $0.94 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 100kt meteor strike in 2026?Yes | sell | 22.26 | $0.041 | $0.91 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Hillary Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will the Democrats win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.060 | $1.2 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?Yes | sell | 5.9 | $0.180 | $1.06 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the CA-18 House seat?No | sell | 25 | $0.051 | $1.28 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will the Republicans win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?No | sell | 16.6 | $0.076 | $1.26 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will the Republicans win the Alabama Senate race in 2026?No | sell | 25 | $0.050 | $1.25 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.070 | $1.4 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will the Republican Party win the AL-01 House seat?No | sell | 25 | $0.060 | $1.5 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party win the CA-16 House seat?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.060 | $1.5 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will the Republican Party win the OK-03 House seat?No | sell | 25 | $0.060 | $1.5 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the IN-08 House seat?Yes | sell | 59.2 | $0.024 | $1.42 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 7.36 | $0.260 | $1.91 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?No | sell | 51 | $0.041 | $2.12 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?No | sell | 35.9 | $0.060 | $2.15 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?Yes | sell | 66 | $0.036 | $2.38 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will the Democrats win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?No | sell | 38.1 | $0.060 | $2.29 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Michel-Edouard Leclerc be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 18 | $0.140 | $2.52 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will the Republicans win the Maryland governor race in 2026?Yes | sell | 83 | $0.018 | $1.53 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?Yes | sell | 77.65 | $0.030 | $2.33 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?Yes | sell | 79 | $0.038 | $3 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Treg Taylor win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.103 | $3.1 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?No | sell | 43 | $0.083 | $3.56 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?Yes | sell | 23.65 | $0.500 | $11.83 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Frank F. Blas Jr. win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.440 | $4.4 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?Yes | sell | 6.14 | $0.917 | $5.63 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027?Yes | sell | 107.25 | $0.053 | $5.68 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Revolut IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 5.09 | $0.120 | $0.61 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Revolut IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 34 | $0.120 | $4.08 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will Ferguson Porter advance from the CA-48 primary election?Yes | sell | 3.53 | $0.010 | $0.04 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will Ferguson Porter advance from the CA-48 primary election?Yes | sell | 11.47 | $0.010 | $0.11 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will Ferguson Porter advance from the CA-48 primary election?Yes | sell | 1.87 | $0.011 | $0.02 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?Yes | sell | 15.19 | $0.100 | $1.52 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will LOS win CBLOL 2026 Split 1?Yes | sell | 3.84 | $0.087 | $0.33 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will LOS win CBLOL 2026 Split 1?Yes | sell | 9.58 | $0.087 | $0.83 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will Nate Blouin be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.200 | $0.6 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Nate Blouin be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.220 | $1.1 | May 29, 2026 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 16.55 | $0.106 | $1.75 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will Jean Castex be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.101 | $0.61 | May 28, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 17.85 | $0.133 | $2.37 | May 28, 2026 |