Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | No | 100 | $0.890 | $95.05 | +$6.05 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 800k?No | sell | 3.33 | $0.400 | $1.33 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 40.35 |
| $0.850 |
| $35.51 |
| +$1.21 |
| Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | No | 36.47 | $0.870 | $25.35 | -$6.38 |
| sell |
| 412.07 |
| $0.022 |
| $9.07 |
| Feb 8, 2026 |
 Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?No | sell | 9.25 | $0.951 | $8.8 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?No | sell | 10.95 | $0.960 | $10.51 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 GTA 6 launch postponed again?No | sell | 161.66 | $0.630 | $101.85 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?No | sell | 200 | $0.961 | $192.2 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.420 | $21 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Will LDP win a majority in the 2026 Japanese snap election?Yes | sell | 272.28 | $0.962 | $261.82 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Rodynske by February 28?No | sell | 50 | $0.700 | $35 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?No | sell | 260 | $0.953 | $247.78 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?No | sell | 40 | $0.961 | $38.44 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.610 | $61 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?No | sell | 3.24 | $0.054 | $0.17 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.020 | $2 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?No | sell | 3.3 | $0.978 | $3.23 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?Yes | sell | 1.66 | $0.009 | $0.01 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 31?Yes | sell | 184.91 | $0.210 | $38.83 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | sell | 134.68 | $0.010 | $1.38 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will ConocoPhillips (COP) beat quarterly earnings?No | sell | 100 | $0.210 | $21 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.450 | $22.5 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) beat quarterly earnings?No | sell | 4.67 | $0.550 | $2.57 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.032 | $3.2 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 211.12 | $0.470 | $99.23 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?No | sell | 43 | $0.710 | $30.53 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?No | sell | 71.75 | $0.980 | $70.32 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | sell | 182 | $0.022 | $4 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?No | sell | 86.9 | $0.066 | $5.74 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?No | sell | 30 | $0.960 | $28.8 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?No | sell | 100 | $0.440 | $44 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?No | sell | 184.86 | $0.971 | $179.43 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will LDP win a majority in the 2026 Japanese snap election?Yes | sell | 219.98 | $0.901 | $198.18 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Weed rescheduled by March 31?No | buy | 53.94 | $0.930 | $50.16 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 800k?No | buy | 50 | $0.260 | $13 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 199.85 | $0.021 | $4.2 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will House and Senate pass funding bill by January 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.015 | $1.5 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 31.42 | $0.270 | $8.48 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?No | sell | 63 | $0.410 | $25.83 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will the median home value in Miami be greater than $1,100,000 by February 1?No | sell | 5.76 | $0.010 | $0.06 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will no government funding bill be passed by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 77 | $0.650 | $50.05 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Interest RatesNo | buy | 100 | $0.220 | $22 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.810 | $40.5 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.440 | $44 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will Silver (SI) settle at >$85 in January?No | sell | 100 | $0.020 | $2 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?Yes | sell | 38 | $0.060 | $2.28 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Another critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?Yes | sell | 4.95 | $0.023 | $0.11 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.590 | $0.59 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?No | sell | 100 | $0.945 | $94.5 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.022 | $2.2 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) settle at >$85 in January?Yes | sell | 49.99 | $0.952 | $47.59 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?No | sell | 1.94 | $0.940 | $1.82 | Jan 26, 2026 |