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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? | No | 66.17 | $0.983 | $63.72 | -$1.31 |
Will Trump resign before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori?No | buy | 5 | $0.830 | $4.15 | 1d ago |
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| No |
| 46.21 |
| $0.977 |
| $44.71 |
| -$0.44 |
Fed abolished before 2027? | No | 40.99 | $0.987 | $39.97 | -$0.5 |
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 24.41 | $0.923 | $22.91 | +$0.37 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? | No | 36.22 | $0.737 | $21.23 | -$5.47 |
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? | No | 18.63 | $0.943 | $17.56 | -$0 |
Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | No | 19.71 | $0.785 | $15.45 | -$0.03 |
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? | No | 18.16 | $0.802 | $14.31 | -$0.26 |
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? | No | 15 | $0.923 | $13.95 | +$0.1 |
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? | No | 14.24 | $0.889 | $13.03 | +$0.38 |
Will the Democratic Party win the TN-05 House seat? | No | 15 | $0.886 | $12.86 | -$0.44 |
Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027? | No | 15 | $0.887 | $12.83 | -$0.49 |
Will Flávio Roscoe win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | No | 12.72 | $0.984 | $12.62 | +$0.1 |
Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026? | No | 13.96 | $0.921 | $12.49 | -$0.36 |
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 17.11 | $0.729 | $12.06 | -$0.41 |
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 14.6 | $0.807 | $11.46 | -$0.32 |
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | No | 14.08 | $0.839 | $10.77 | -$1.04 |
Record crypto liquidation in 2026? | No | 11.01 | $0.922 | $10.12 | -$0.04 |
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-07 House seat? | No | 12 | $0.842 | $10.02 | -$0.09 |
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? | No | 10.98 | $0.937 | $9.95 | -$0.34 |
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 15 | $0.740 | $9.68 | -$1.43 |
Will the Democratic Party win the IN-06 House seat? | No | 10 | $0.950 | $9.55 | +$0.05 |
Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 10 | $0.926 | $9.53 | +$0.27 |
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 10 | $0.900 | $9.37 | +$0.37 |
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-15 House seat? | No | 10 | $0.936 | $9.36 | -$0.01 |
| buy |
| 5 |
| $0.820 |
| $4.1 |
| 1d ago |
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 5 | $0.910 | $4.55 | 2d ago |
Spain snap election called in 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.730 | $3.65 | 2d ago |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 4.99 | $0.680 | $3.39 | 4d ago |
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.430 | $2.15 | 4d ago |
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.880 | $4.4 | 5d ago |
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No | buy | 5 | $0.300 | $1.5 | 5d ago |
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.600 | $3 | 6d ago |
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.620 | $3.1 | 6d ago |
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.300 | $3 | 7d ago |
Will Stephen Lynch be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?No | buy | 5 | $0.210 | $1.05 | 7d ago |
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.940 | $4.7 | 7d ago |
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.410 | $2.05 | 10d ago |
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.890 | $4.45 | 11d ago |
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by October 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.740 | $3.7 | 11d ago |
Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.570 | $2.85 | 12d ago |
Ostium FDV above $200M one day after launch?No | buy | 5 | $0.920 | $4.6 | 12d ago |
Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?No | sell | 5 | $0.860 | $4.3 | 14d ago |
Will the Republican Party win the NY-03 House seat?No | buy | 5 | $0.930 | $4.65 | 17d ago |
Will the Republican Party win the CO-08 House seat?No | buy | 5 | $0.720 | $3.6 | 18d ago |
Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No | sell | 5.31 | $0.880 | $4.67 | 18d ago |
Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?No | buy | 5 | $0.350 | $1.75 | 19d ago |
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.600 | $3 | 20d ago |
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.530 | $2.65 | 22d ago |
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.340 | $1.7 | 23d ago |
Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?No | buy | 5 | $0.310 | $1.55 | 26d ago |
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.580 | $2.9 | 26d ago |
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.480 | $2.4 | 27d ago |
Natural Disaster in 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.730 | $3.65 | 27d ago |
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.950 | $4.75 | 28d ago |
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?No | sell | 5 | $0.401 | $2.01 | 28d ago |
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?No | buy | 5 | $0.460 | $2.3 | 28d ago |
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.710 | $3.55 | 28d ago |
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.850 | $4.25 | Aug 10, 2026 |
Will the Republican Party hold fewer than 22 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?No | buy | 5 | $0.820 | $4.1 | Aug 6, 2026 |
Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.910 | $4.55 | Aug 5, 2026 |
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?No | buy | 5 | $0.220 | $1.1 | Aug 5, 2026 |
Will the Republican Party win the PA-16 House seat?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.870 | $4.35 | Aug 4, 2026 |
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?No | buy | 5 | $0.340 | $1.7 | Aug 3, 2026 |
Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.940 | $4.7 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.800 | $4 | Jul 30, 2026 |
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?No | buy | 5 | $0.830 | $4.15 | Jul 30, 2026 |
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.900 | $4.5 | Jul 30, 2026 |
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.900 | $4.5 | Jul 30, 2026 |
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.760 | $3.8 | Jul 30, 2026 |
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?No | buy | 5 | $0.360 | $1.8 | Jul 29, 2026 |
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.940 | $4.7 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Will Los Angeles FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?No | buy | 5 | $0.870 | $4.35 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.510 | $2.55 | Jul 28, 2026 |