Analytics
Yes is at 3.2%, down 44 points from 47.5% when the market opened on 1 Jul 2026.
Across the 118 daily closes on record from 1 Jul 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 47.5% on 1 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.8% on 6 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 2.9%; a month before, 2.5%. Its largest one-day move was 36 points down, to 12% on 2 Jul 2026.
$124.33K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $14.93K, with a 1.2% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 445 trades, $1.13K bought Yes and $48.72K bought No; the largest was a $3.23K buy of No at 96.8¢.
The largest Yes position is usuch with 3.3K shares; the largest No position is Car with 3.8K. Ten wallets hold 84.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 12:30 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 118 points, 1 Jul 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | 47.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 3.2% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| CarVerifiedVerified Polymarket profile | No | 3.76K |
| usuch | Yes | 3.33K |
| mombil |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-talk-to-mojtaba-khamenei-by-march-31
| No |
| 1.04K |
| David28 | Yes | 1.02K |
| singularityman | Yes | 836.8 |
| banestow | No | 600.61 |
| zatagi | Yes | 536.6 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 384.18 |
| pakukudolphi | No | 245.37 |
| Tenebrus7 | No | 228 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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