Analytics
Yes is at 6.5%, down 19 points from 25.5% when the market opened on 19 May 2026.
Across the 156 daily closes on record from 19 May 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 46.1% on 5 Jun 2026 and the lowest 0.2% on 27 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 4.5%; a month before, 0.8%. Its largest one-day move was 37 points down, to 8.3% on 7 Jun 2026.
Josh O'Connor ranks fourth of the 24 outcomes in “Next James Bond actor?”. Jack Lowden leads at 37%; No Bond chosen is at 25.4%.
$536.04 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $38.44K since listing. The order book holds $6.85K, with a 3.2% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 462 trades, $940.43 bought Yes and $11.56K bought No.
The largest Yes position is spyr0 with 6K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 34.7K. Ten wallets hold 85% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 66 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 8:07 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 156 points, 19 May 2026 – 25 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 May 2026 | 25.5% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | 7.6% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 34.67K |
| spyr0 | Yes | 6.05K |
| SnapElectionAvoider | Yes | 5.92K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-james-bond-actor-398
12 more outcomes, none above 0.2%.
| Diplopia2 | Yes | 2.99K |
| CriptanTDA | Yes | 2.81K |
| waderspike | Yes | 1.63K |
| macrosteaks | Yes | 1.56K |
| Lively-Camper | Yes | 1.54K |
| guoup | Yes | 1.43K |
| balthazar | Yes | 854.82 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
