Analytics
Yes is at 1.6%, down 3.5 points from 5% when the market opened on 6 Nov 2025.
Across the 335 daily closes on record from 6 Nov 2025 to 25 Oct 2026 (19 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 11% on 26 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.9% on 30 Jul 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 1.3%; a month before, 1.5%.
$8.24K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $10.86K, with a 0.7% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 263 trades, $195.17 bought Yes and $1.95K bought No.
The largest Yes position is ronniegrob with 1.4K shares; the largest No position is vibecool with 500. Ten wallets hold 58.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 69 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 25, 3:00 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 335 points, 6 Nov 2025 – 25 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Nov 2025 | 5.0% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | 1.6% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ronniegrob | Yes | 1.43K |
| vibecool | No | 500 |
| 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | No | 500 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States Federal Reserve is formally abolished by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fed-abolished-before-2027
| Crazy-Hybridization | Yes | 232.2 |
| playballs | Yes | 226.8 |
| GTOrski1 | No | 220.61 |
| Brisk-Mirror | Yes | 172.6 |
| Alegrandebig | No | 161.79 |
| Perypery | Yes | 114.12 |
| Solar Raven A90C | No | 113.04 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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