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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump deport less than 200k people? | Yes | 796.08 | $0.006 | $14.73 | +$9.73 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Over $1.2B crypto hack value in 2026?No | buy | 314.37 | $0.016 | $5 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 1.67K |
| $0.003 |
| $9.17 |
| +$4.17 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | Yes | 217.39 | $0.023 | $6.52 | +$1.52 |
 Trump goes to space in 2026? | Yes | 294.12 | $0.017 | $6.03 | +$1.03 |
 FDA approves Retatrutide this year? | Yes | 194.22 | $0.026 | $5.83 | +$0.83 |
 Fed abolished before 2027? | Yes | 232.2 | $0.021 | $5.8 | +$0.8 |
 Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? | Yes | 357.14 | $0.014 | $5.54 | +$0.54 |
 Marine Le Pen out as Member of the National Assembly by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 154.07 | $0.032 | $5.47 | +$0.47 |
 Will the US strike 15 or more countries in 2026? | Yes | 1.36K | $0.004 | $5.45 | +$0.45 |
 Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? | Yes | 833.33 | $0.006 | $5.42 | +$0.42 |
 Will Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 15% or more? | Yes | 55.56 | $0.018 | $5 | +$4 |
 Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026? | Yes | 227.27 | $0.022 | $4.89 | -$0.11 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by 16% or more? | Yes | 600.39 | $0.008 | $4.8 | -$0.2 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 250 | $0.020 | $3.63 | -$1.38 |
 Will the Republican Party hold 32 or more governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 794.22 | $0.007 | $3.57 | -$2.42 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 2.0% and 3.0%? | Yes | 1K | $0.001 | $3.5 | +$2.5 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 12.82 | $0.390 | $3.4 | -$1.6 |
 Will fewer than 950 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026? | Yes | 390.51 | $0.013 | $3.32 | -$1.68 |
 Will there be four or more UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? | Yes | 206.4 | $0.024 | $3.3 | -$1.7 |
 Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by 6% or more? | Yes | 243.88 | $0.021 | $2.93 | -$2.07 |
 Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 356.4 | $0.014 | $2.85 | -$2.15 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 400.45 | $0.012 | $2.6 | -$2.4 |
 Xi Jinping divorce before 2027? | Yes | 294.12 | $0.017 | $2.35 | -$2.65 |
 EU dissolves before 2027? | Yes | 227.94 | $0.022 | $2.28 | -$2.72 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 887.62 | $0.011 | $2.22 | -$7.78 |
| buy |
| 142.2 |
| $0.035 |
| $5 |
| Aug 6, 2026 |
| Marine Le Pen out as Member of the National Assembly by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 154.07 | $0.032 | $5 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Trump goes to space in 2026?Yes | buy | 294.12 | $0.017 | $5 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?Yes | buy | 294.12 | $0.017 | $5 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will there be four or more UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?Yes | buy | 206.4 | $0.024 | $5 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will TenZ be elected the new Riot Games CEO in 2026?Yes | buy | 161.58 | $0.031 | $5 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 15% or more?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.018 | $1 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?Yes | buy | 357.14 | $0.014 | $5 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Yes | buy | 356.4 | $0.014 | $5 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 833.33 | $0.006 | $5 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Nigel Farage win less than 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Yes | buy | 239.31 | $0.021 | $5 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX have less than 100 launches in 2026?Yes | buy | 332.61 | $0.015 | $5 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by 6% or more?Yes | buy | 243.88 | $0.021 | $5 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by 16% or more?Yes | buy | 600.39 | $0.008 | $5 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Trump deport less than 200k people?Yes | buy | 796.08 | $0.006 | $5 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party hold 32 or more governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | buy | 627.55 | $0.008 | $5 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 351.29 | $0.014 | $5 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be 70k or more?Yes | buy | 284.43 | $0.018 | $5 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will 5 or more Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.003 | $5 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will fewer than 950 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?Yes | buy | 390.51 | $0.013 | $5 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will the US strike 15 or more countries in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.36K | $0.004 | $5 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the October interest rate announcement?Yes | buy | 1.15K | $0.004 | $5 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the October interest rate announcement?Yes | buy | 1.14K | $0.004 | $5 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 40 Gwei before 2027?Yes | sell | 143.3 | $0.013 | $1.85 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will 1050 to 1099 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?Yes | sell | 362.58 | $0.003 | $0.98 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 3.0 and 3.4% in 2026?Yes | sell | 266.4 | $0.016 | $4.35 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party hold 32 or more governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 5.5%?Yes | buy | 150.42 | $0.033 | $5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be less than 3.4%?Yes | buy | 252.63 | $0.020 | $5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 3.0 and 3.4% in 2026?Yes | buy | 266.41 | $0.019 | $5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will 1050 to 1099 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?Yes | buy | 362.58 | $0.014 | $5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.022 | $1 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| FDA approves Retatrutide this year?Yes | buy | 194.22 | $0.026 | $5 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?Yes | buy | 227.27 | $0.022 | $5 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.015 | $5 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 434.75 | $0.012 | $5 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?Yes | buy | 147.82 | $0.034 | $5 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 137.16 | $0.036 | $5 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?No | buy | 384.62 | $0.013 | $5 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 40 Gwei before 2027?Yes | buy | 10.2 | $0.098 | $1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 40 Gwei before 2027?Yes | buy | 133.1 | $0.030 | $4 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 540.75 | $0.007 | $4 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 265.79 | $0.019 | $5 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 452.87 | $0.011 | $5 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be less than -1.0%?Yes | buy | 74.63 | $0.054 | $4 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 263.16 | $0.019 | $5 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.002 | $5 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 208.33 | $0.024 | $5 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 400.45 | $0.012 | $5 | Jul 28, 2026 |