Analytics
Resolved No on 21 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 24% on 3 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 315 daily closes on record from 3 Dec 2025 to 21 Oct 2026 (8 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 36% on 13 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 19 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 15 points up, to 33% on 6 Dec 2025. $371.44K traded over the market's life.
211 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 21, 6:39 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 315 points, 3 Dec 2025 – 21 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Dec 2025 | 24.0% |
| 21 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Tmagic23 | Yes | 30K |
| cowcat | Yes | 22.63K |
| hornetsfan | No | 21.85K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if LeBron James retires from the NBA before the start of the 2026-2027 NBA season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement from James that he is retiring will qualify even if his official retirement has not yet occurred, as long as the announced retirement is stated to take effect before the start of the 2026-2027 NBA season. Announcements that he will retire after the start of the 2026-2027 NBA season will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from LeBron James, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-lebron-james-retire-before-next-nba-season
| gummy-usb | Yes | 7.46K |
| MeiZzzi | Yes | 5.72K |
| YellowSnake | Yes | 3.56K |
| planktonXD | Yes | 3.35K |
| WAVE | Yes | 2.55K |
| Momolly | No | 1.81K |
| 6F456F7474666A7479 | Yes | 1.79K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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