Analytics
Yes is at 0.9%, down 2.2 points from 3.1% when the market opened on 31 Dec 2025.
Across the 272 daily closes on record from 31 Dec 2025 to 24 Oct 2026 (27 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 3.8% on 1 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.8% on 23 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 1%; a month before, 0.9%.
$90.54 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $113.7K since listing. The order book holds $15.99K, with a 0.6% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is Leon8899 with 1.9K shares; the largest No position is 0xfaskety with 2.2K. Ten wallets hold 46.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 69 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 24, 9:36 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 272 points, 31 Dec 2025 – 24 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Dec 2025 | 3.1% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 0.9% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0xfaskety | No | 2.16K |
| Leon8899 | Yes | 1.85K |
| KonImperator | Yes | 1.37K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market. The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/xi-jinping-divorce-before-2027
| AMAM13 |
| Yes |
| 1.27K |
| rocky42022 | Yes | 1.12K |
| Supernova38 | Yes | 764.71 |
| Perypery | Yes | 582.48 |
| mechtatel | Yes | 514.29 |
| 1456 | No | 511 |
| thecaricature | Yes | 440 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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