Analytics
Yes is at 1.3%, down 4.7 points from 6% when the market opened on 8 Jan 2026.
Across the 280 daily closes on record from 8 Jan 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (14 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 7.2% on 30 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.8% on 3 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 1.1%; a month before, 0.9%.
$5 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.98M since listing. The order book holds $20.61K, with a 0.2% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $27.68 bought Yes and $7.76K bought No; the largest was a $1.49K buy of No at 97.6¢.
The largest Yes position is moon-k58-lad with 2.5K shares; the largest No position is Solar Raven A90C with 3.6K. Ten wallets hold 42.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 10:50 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 280 points, 8 Jan 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Jan 2026 | 6.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 1.3% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Solar Raven A90C | No | 3.59K |
| moon-k58-lad | Yes | 2.54K |
| Ivory Vector E32F | Yes | 2.43K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any human-crewed mission lands on the moon between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A touchdown of the spacecraft with humans aboard will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of technical complications. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/human-moon-landing-in-2026
| gagagagagaga | No | 2.23K |
| ALevinson | No | 1.92K |
| 9supreme | Yes | 1.17K |
| 64MGX75VLQ | No | 1K |
| BigMx031 | Yes | 710.96 |
| Jade Beacon E3EA | Yes | 631.16 |
| Apalmer55 | Yes | 609.56 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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