Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 6.7K | $0.282 | $435.58 | -$1.45K |
 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.94K | $0.120 | $232.77 | 18d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 5K |
| $0.167 |
| $247.6 |
| -$587.4 |
| 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | Yes | 14.67K | $0.059 | $183.33 | -$682.96 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 10.71K | $0.075 | $166.03 | -$634.88 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.94K | $0.120 | $164.88 | -$67.89 |
 Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | No | 5.75K | $0.052 | $163.94 | -$136.06 |
 US military draft authorized in 2026? | Yes | 4.85K | $0.134 | $152.77 | -$499.23 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.52K | $0.150 | $142.5 | -$385.27 |
 Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? | Yes | 866.93 | $0.228 | $130.04 | -$67.61 |
| buy |
| 857.18 |
| $0.058 |
| $50 |
| 18d ago |
| Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?Yes | buy | 866.93 | $0.228 | $197.65 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?No | buy | 5.75K | $0.052 | $300 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.69K | $0.230 | $389.64 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| US military draft authorized in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.12K | $0.069 | $77 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.167 | $835 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.01K | $0.300 | $1.5K | Jul 1, 2026 |
| US military draft authorized in 2026?Yes | buy | 3.73K | $0.154 | $575 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.52K | $0.150 | $527.77 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.71K | $0.075 | $800.92 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Yes | buy | 2.2K | $0.065 | $143 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Yes | buy | 2.44K | $0.063 | $153.3 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?Yes | sell | 3K | $0.048 | $145.42 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Yes | buy | 10.02K | $0.057 | $570 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 5.87K | $0.010 | $61.6 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?Yes | buy | 19.35 | $0.100 | $1.94 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.39K | $0.018 | $43.07 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 6.17K | $0.055 | $341.33 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?Yes | buy | 7.07K | $0.096 | $675.97 | Sep 3, 2025 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.28K | $0.045 | $58.13 | Aug 17, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.120 | $200.36 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?Yes | buy | 7.35K | $0.012 | $90 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.57K | $0.120 | $308.74 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by July 31?Yes | buy | 454.55 | $0.011 | $5 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran in 2025?Yes | buy | 3.84K | $0.090 | $345.36 | Jun 28, 2025 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?Yes | buy | 3.56K | $0.022 | $78.23 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?Yes | buy | 291 | $0.110 | $32.01 | Jun 15, 2025 |
 Champions LeagueQuarterfinals: Arsenal vs. Real MadridReal Madrid | buy | 6.41K | $0.137 | $879.27 | Apr 9, 2025 |
| NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.72K | $0.180 | $309.98 | Mar 2, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 1.29K | $0.053 | $67.8 | Feb 25, 2025 |
 USDT depeg in 2025?Yes | buy | 197 | $0.150 | $29.55 | Feb 25, 2025 |
| USDT depeg in 2025?Yes | buy | 802.67 | $0.140 | $112.37 | Feb 25, 2025 |
| NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?Yes | buy | 562.65 | $0.200 | $112.53 | Feb 6, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 161.5 | $0.043 | $6.94 | Feb 6, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 929.09 | $0.011 | $10.22 | Feb 1, 2025 |
 Iran Nuke in 2025?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.150 | $300 | Feb 1, 2025 |