Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 22.5% on 30 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 338 daily closes on record from 30 Jan 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 22.5% on 30 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.2% on 29 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 9 points down, to 13.5% on 31 Jan 2025. $11.76M traded over the market's life.
760 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 338 points, 30 Jan 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jan 2025 | 22.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| MistaJenkins | Yes | 185.23K |
| Tricky-Due | Yes | 56.04K |
| BowlOfPunch | Yes | 49.94K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to be the Chair of the U.S. Federal Reserve for any period of time between January 26, 2025 ET and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-remove-jerome-powell
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| back-in-whack | Yes | 32.01K |
| Neon Comet 0E19 | Yes | 30.59K |
| YoungGriff | Yes | 30K |
| sudowudo | Yes | 25K |
| wopoch | Yes | 19.9K |
| 1d87b776-d24b-4d1c-ad70-1f2b2051ceea | Yes | 19.23K |
| yoyo22 | Yes | 16.62K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
