Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 28% on 1 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 371 daily closes on record from 1 Jan 2025 to 5 Jan 2026, the highest close was 28% on 1 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 5 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 7.5 points down, to 20.5% on 2 Jan 2025. $17.98M traded over the market's life.
685 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 3, 3:20 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 371 points, 1 Jan 2025 – 5 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Jan 2025 | 28.0% |
| 5 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| onedayiwillberight | Yes | 1.81M |
| randyk | Yes | 915.47K |
| JamesBeard99 | Yes | 599.89K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy sells any of its Bitcoin by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from MSTR and on-chain data, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/microstrategy-sell-any-bitcoin-in-2025
| si5B0e1dNO | Yes | 184K |
| rollingagain | Yes | 145.38K |
| enjoyooor | Yes | 125.96K |
| keklo | Yes | 123.23K |
| Horrible-Extreme | Yes | 106.85K |
| 1765211856784 | Yes | 100.25K |
| privileged | Yes | 100K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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